Cyprus vs Montenegro: prediction and stats
UEFA Nations League6Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)TBC (Cyprus), TBC
The Footlab AI model makes Cyprus the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Montenegro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cyprus wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cyprus vs Montenegro?
On Elo ratings, Cyprus has 1,319 points and Montenegro 1,435.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cyprus vs Montenegro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cyprus
4-2-3-1- 9I. Pittas
- 20G. Kastanos
- 23M. Edwards
- 10L. Loizou
- 11A. Kakoullis
- 18K. Artymatas
- 3N. Panagiotou
- 4H. Kyprianou
- 14G. Malekkides
- 15L. Konomis
- 1Fabiano
Montenegro
4-3-3- 20M. Osmajić
- 9N. Krstović
- 10S. Jovetić
- 8M. Janković
- 17Vasilije Adžić
- 21A. Bulatović
- 2M. Roganović
- 15S. Savić
- 16O. Gašević
- 4A. Đurić
- 1B. Popović
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 01:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cyprus have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Montenegro have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Latvia(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Armenia(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Latvia(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Montenegro(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Liechtenstein(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Armenia(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Latvia(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Armenia(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Cyprus(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Slovakia(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Cyprus wins, 1 draw, 3 Montenegro wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Montenegro 2-1 Cyprus | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 17, 2020 | Montenegro 4-0 Cyprus | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 5, 2020 | Cyprus 0-2 Montenegro | UEFA Nations League |
| Mar 23, 2018 | Cyprus 0-0 Montenegro | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Cyprus score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Montenegro score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cyprus | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Montenegro | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cyprus sit 2nd in UEFA Nations League (7 points from 4 matches) and Montenegro sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
A question about Cyprus vs Montenegro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cyprus vs Montenegro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cyprus the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Montenegro.
- Where and when is Cyprus vs Montenegro played?
- Cyprus vs Montenegro is played on November 15, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at TBC (Cyprus), in the UEFA Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.