Faroe Islands vs Moldova: prediction and stats
UEFA Nations League6Kick-off on November 16, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tórsvøllur, Tórshavn, Streymoy
The Footlab AI model makes Faroe Islands the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Moldova. The most likely score is 1-1. If Faroe Islands wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,583 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Faroe Islands vs Moldova?
On Elo ratings, Faroe Islands has 1,352 points and Moldova 1,291.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Faroe Islands vs Moldova
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Faroe Islands
3-4-3- 20H. Sørensen
- 11P. Knudsen
- 10Á. Samuelsen
- 21G. Turi
- 13M. Agnarsson
- 2J. Danielsen
- 7J. Bjartalíð
- 16G. Vatnhamar
- 15O. Færø
- 5A. Edmundsson
- 1M. Lamhauge
Moldova
5-3-2- 15Petru Popescu
- 20N. Cleșcenco
- 22V. Raţă
- 9S. Perciun
- 14Vladimir Fratea
- 4V. Baboglo
- 6M. Gherasimencov
- 2O. Reabciuk
- 18I. Iovu
- 21I. Revenco
- 12D. Celeadnic
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 11:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Faroe Islands have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Moldova have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Kazakhstan(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Slovakia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Moldova(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kazakhstan(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Latvia(away) | 1-0 | Baltic Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Slovakia(home) | 0-4 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Kazakhstan(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Faroe Islands(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Slovakia(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Armenia(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Faroe Islands win, 3 draws, 1 Moldova win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Moldova 1-1 Faroe Islands | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Faroe Islands 0-1 Moldova | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Moldova 1-1 Faroe Islands | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Sep 7, 2021 | Faroe Islands 2-1 Moldova | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 25, 2021 | Moldova 1-1 Faroe Islands | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
Last archived meeting: Moldova vs Faroe Islands on Sep 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Faroe Islands score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Moldova score 0.8 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Faroe Islands | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Moldova | 0.8 | 2.8 | 0 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Faroe Islands sit 2nd in UEFA Nations League (4 points from 4 matches) and Moldova sit 3rd (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 3 | Moldova | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
A question about Faroe Islands vs Moldova?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Faroe Islands vs Moldova?
- The Footlab AI model makes Faroe Islands the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Moldova.
- Where and when is Faroe Islands vs Moldova played?
- Faroe Islands vs Moldova is played on November 16, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tórsvøllur, in the UEFA Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.