Kamatamare Sanuki vs Kagoshima United: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Pikara Stadium, Marugame
The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Kamatamare Sanuki. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kamatamare Sanuki vs Kagoshima United?
Kagoshima United starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,592).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kamatamare Sanuki have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Kagoshima United have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kochi United(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Veroskronos Tsuno(away) | 1-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kitakyushu(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fukushima United(away) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 0-0 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Albirex Niigata(away) | 4-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gifu(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 3-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kamatamare Sanuki win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Kagoshima United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | Kamatamare Sanuki 0-0 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Kagoshima United 1-1 Kamatamare Sanuki | J3 League |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Kagoshima United 1-1 Kamatamare Sanuki | J3 League |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Kamatamare Sanuki 2-0 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Kagoshima United 3-2 Kamatamare Sanuki | J3 League |
| May 29, 2022 | Kamatamare Sanuki 0-4 Kagoshima United | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Kamatamare Sanuki vs Kagoshima United on Nov 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kamatamare Sanuki score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kagoshima United score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamatamare Sanuki | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Kagoshima United | 1.5 | 0.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kamatamare Sanuki sit 9th in J3 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Kagoshima United sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kagoshima United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kamatamare Sanuki vs Kagoshima United?
- The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Kamatamare Sanuki.
- Where and when is Kamatamare Sanuki vs Kagoshima United played?
- Kamatamare Sanuki vs Kagoshima United is played on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Pikara Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026FC GifuvsTochigi SC
- Aug 29, 2026FC RyukyuvsSagamihara
- Aug 29, 2026Fukushima UnitedvsNara Club
- Aug 30, 2026Parceiro NaganovsThespakusatsu Gunma
- Aug 30, 2026KitakyushuvsMatsumoto Yamaga
- Aug 30, 2026Biwako ShigavsGainare Tottori
- Aug 30, 2026Kochi UnitedvsRoasso Kumamoto
- Aug 30, 2026KanazawavsEhime FC