Match

Kamatamare Sanuki vs Kagoshima United: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Pikara Stadium, Marugame

Kamatamare SanukiKagoshima United

The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Kamatamare Sanuki. The most likely score is 0-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kamatamare Sanuki vs Kagoshima United?

Kagoshima United starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,592).

Kamatamare Sanuki win13 %
Draw23 %
Kagoshima United win63 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kamatamare Sanuki have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Kagoshima United have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kamatamare Sanuki
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kochi United(away)1-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Veroskronos Tsuno(away)1-3Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Kitakyushu(away)0-0J3 League
Aug 9, 2026Fukushima United(away)2-1J3 League
Jun 5, 2026Parceiro Nagano(home)0-0J2/J3 League
Kagoshima United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Albirex Niigata(away)4-0Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026FC Gifu(home)0-0J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Renofa Yamaguchi(home)2-1Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Nara Club(away)3-1J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma(home)1-0J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kamatamare Sanuki win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Kagoshima United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 16, 2025Kamatamare Sanuki 0-0 Kagoshima UnitedJ3 League
Feb 16, 2025Kagoshima United 1-1 Kamatamare SanukiJ3 League
Sep 16, 2023Kagoshima United 1-1 Kamatamare SanukiJ3 League
Apr 2, 2023Kamatamare Sanuki 2-0 Kagoshima UnitedJ3 League
Sep 11, 2022Kagoshima United 3-2 Kamatamare SanukiJ3 League
May 29, 2022Kamatamare Sanuki 0-4 Kagoshima UnitedJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Kamatamare Sanuki vs Kagoshima United on Nov 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kamatamare Sanuki score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kagoshima United score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kamatamare Sanuki0.91.729/1510/15
Kagoshima United1.50.757/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kamatamare Sanuki sit 9th in J3 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Kagoshima United sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Kagoshima United3210417
9Kamatamare Sanuki3111334

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kamatamare Sanuki vs Kagoshima United?
The Footlab model makes Kagoshima United the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Kamatamare Sanuki.
Where and when is Kamatamare Sanuki vs Kagoshima United played?
Kamatamare Sanuki vs Kagoshima United is played on August 29, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Pikara Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kamatamare Sanuki and Kagoshima United

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