Match

Biwako Shiga vs Tokyo Verdy: prediction and stats

J-League CupRound of 128Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC)Nunobiki Higashiomi Stadium, Higashiomi

Biwako ShigaTokyo Verdy

The Footlab model makes Tokyo Verdy the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Biwako Shiga. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Biwako Shiga vs Tokyo Verdy?

Tokyo Verdy starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,872 vs 1,713).

Biwako Shiga win22 %
Draw24 %
Tokyo Verdy win54 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Biwako Shiga have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Tokyo Verdy have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Biwako Shiga
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma(away)3-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Japan Soccer College(home)2-1Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(away)3-2J3 League
Aug 9, 2026FC Gifu(home)0-3J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Tochigi City(away)1-3J2/J3 League
Tokyo Verdy
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Fagiano Okayama(away)0-0J1 League
Aug 14, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)1-3J1 League
Aug 9, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(home)1-1J1 League
Jun 6, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)2-4J1 League
May 30, 2026Gamba Osaka(away)1-1J1 League

How many goals should we expect?

Biwako Shiga score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Tokyo Verdy score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Biwako Shiga1.22.038/1510/15
Tokyo Verdy0.91.558/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Biwako Shiga vs Tokyo Verdy?
The Footlab model makes Tokyo Verdy the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Biwako Shiga.
Where and when is Biwako Shiga vs Tokyo Verdy played?
Biwako Shiga vs Tokyo Verdy is played on September 9, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC) at Nunobiki Higashiomi Stadium, in the J-League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Biwako Shiga and Tokyo Verdy

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