Biwako Shiga vs Tokyo Verdy: prediction and stats
J-League CupRound of 128Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC)Nunobiki Higashiomi Stadium, Higashiomi
The Footlab model makes Tokyo Verdy the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Biwako Shiga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Biwako Shiga vs Tokyo Verdy?
Tokyo Verdy starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,872 vs 1,713).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Biwako Shiga have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Tokyo Verdy have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(away) | 3-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Japan Soccer College(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 3-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Gifu(home) | 0-3 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Tochigi City(away) | 1-3 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fagiano Okayama(away) | 0-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(home) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 2-4 | J1 League |
| May 30, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
How many goals should we expect?
Biwako Shiga score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Tokyo Verdy score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biwako Shiga | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Tokyo Verdy | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Biwako Shiga vs Tokyo Verdy?
- The Footlab model makes Tokyo Verdy the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Biwako Shiga.
- Where and when is Biwako Shiga vs Tokyo Verdy played?
- Biwako Shiga vs Tokyo Verdy is played on September 9, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC) at Nunobiki Higashiomi Stadium, in the J-League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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