Where and when is Tokyo Verdy vs JEF United Chiba played?

Tokyo Verdy vs JEF United Chiba is played on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tokyo Verdy vs JEF United Chiba: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

Tokyo Verdy

JEF United Chiba

The Footlab model makes Tokyo Verdy the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for JEF United Chiba. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs JEF United Chiba?

A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Tokyo Verdy (1,872) and JEF United Chiba (1,815).

Tokyo Verdy win41 %

Draw27 %

JEF United Chiba win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tokyo Verdy have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; JEF United Chiba have 1, 3 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tokyo Verdy
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Thespakusatsu Gunma(home)	4-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(away)	0-0	J1 League
Aug 14, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(home)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(home)	1-1	J1 League
Jun 6, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	2-4	J1 League

JEF United Chiba
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	0-2	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Machida Zelvia(home)	0-4	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)	0-3	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka(home)	1-2	J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tokyo Verdy win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 JEF United Chiba win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Tokyo Verdy 1-0 JEF United Chiba	J1 League
Apr 4, 2026	JEF United Chiba 3-2 Tokyo Verdy	J1 League
Nov 26, 2023	Tokyo Verdy 2-1 JEF United Chiba	J2 League
Oct 22, 2023	Tokyo Verdy 3-2 JEF United Chiba	J2 League
Apr 16, 2023	JEF United Chiba 1-0 Tokyo Verdy	J2 League
Jun 26, 2022	JEF United Chiba 3-1 Tokyo Verdy	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Tokyo Verdy vs JEF United Chiba on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tokyo Verdy score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tokyo Verdy	1.1	1.4	5	8/15	6/15
JEF United Chiba	0.8	2.0	2	6/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tokyo Verdy sit 17th in J1 League (2 points from 3 matches) and JEF United Chiba sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
17	Tokyo Verdy	3	0	2	1	2	4	2
20	JEF United Chiba	3	0	0	3	0	9	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tokyo Verdy vs JEF United Chiba?: The Footlab model makes Tokyo Verdy the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for JEF United Chiba.
Where and when is Tokyo Verdy vs JEF United Chiba played?: Tokyo Verdy vs JEF United Chiba is played on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.