Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 23Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Aspmyra Stadion, Bodø
The Footlab model makes Bodo/Glimt the favourite at 85%, against 11% for a draw and 4% for Kristiansund BK. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK?
Bodo/Glimt is a heavy favourite: 2,277 Elo points against 1,851 — a 426-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bodo/Glimt have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Kristiansund BK have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Valerenga(away) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(away) | 3-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lillestrom(home) | 4-0 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Trønder-Lyn(away) | 5-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Fredrikstad(away) | 0-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Molde(home) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 2, 2026 | KFUM Oslo(away) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Start(home) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Bodo/Glimt win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kristiansund BK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Kristiansund BK 0-3 Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Bodo/Glimt 7-1 Kristiansund BK | Eliteserien |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Kristiansund BK 1-1 Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Bodo/Glimt 4-0 Kristiansund BK | Eliteserien |
| May 12, 2024 | Kristiansund BK 2-4 Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Bodo/Glimt 5-0 Kristiansund BK | Eliteserien |
Last archived meeting: Kristiansund BK vs Bodo/Glimt on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bodo/Glimt score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kristiansund BK score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt | 2.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Kristiansund BK | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bodo/Glimt sit 1st in Eliteserien (41 points from 17 matches) and Kristiansund BK sit 14th (15 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 43 | 12 | 41 |
| 14 | Kristiansund BK | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK?
- The Footlab model makes Bodo/Glimt the favourite at 85%, against 11% for a draw and 4% for Kristiansund BK.
- Where and when is Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK played?
- Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Aspmyra Stadion, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.