KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 23Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)KFUM Arena, Oslo
The Footlab model makes KFUM Oslo the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Valerenga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate KFUM Oslo (1,922) and Valerenga (1,942).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KFUM Oslo have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Valerenga have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | IF Ready(away) | 4-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lillestrom(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sandefjord(away) | 1-0 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(home) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Molde(home) | 2-4 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Christiania BK(away) | 7-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Aalesund(away) | 5-5 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(home) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ham-Kam(home) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Brann(away) | 3-2 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 KFUM Oslo win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Valerenga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Valerenga 2-2 KFUM Oslo | Eliteserien |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Valerenga 1-0 KFUM Oslo | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Valerenga 1-1 KFUM Oslo | Eliteserien |
| May 26, 2025 | KFUM Oslo 0-1 Valerenga | Eliteserien |
Last archived meeting: Valerenga vs KFUM Oslo on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KFUM Oslo score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Valerenga score 2.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KFUM Oslo | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Valerenga | 2.1 | 2.3 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KFUM Oslo sit 12th in Eliteserien (19 points from 17 matches) and Valerenga sit 11th (21 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Valerenga | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 34 | 21 |
| 12 | KFUM Oslo | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga?
- The Footlab model makes KFUM Oslo the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Valerenga.
- Where and when is KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga played?
- KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at KFUM Arena, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.