Rosenborg vs Sandefjord: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 23Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim
The Footlab model makes Rosenborg the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Sandefjord. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rosenborg vs Sandefjord?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Rosenborg (1,994) and Sandefjord (1,942).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rosenborg have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Sandefjord have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | National Kameratene(away) | 9-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Viking(home) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lillestrom(away) | 2-0 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Brann(away) | 2-3 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Fredrikstad(home) | 4-0 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eidanger(away) | 15-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF(away) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 7, 2026 | KFUM Oslo(home) | 0-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fredrikstad(away) | 0-1 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(home) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rosenborg win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Sandefjord win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sandefjord 0-0 Rosenborg | Eliteserien |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Rosenborg 1-1 Sandefjord | Eliteserien |
| Jul 6, 2025 | Sandefjord 2-0 Rosenborg | Eliteserien |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Sandefjord 0-1 Rosenborg | Eliteserien |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Rosenborg 2-0 Sandefjord | Eliteserien |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Sandefjord 3-2 Rosenborg | Eliteserien |
Last archived meeting: Sandefjord vs Rosenborg on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rosenborg score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sandefjord score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg | 2.3 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Sandefjord | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rosenborg sit 7th in Eliteserien (24 points from 17 matches) and Sandefjord sit 13th (18 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rosenborg | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 22 | 24 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 23 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rosenborg vs Sandefjord?
- The Footlab model makes Rosenborg the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Sandefjord.
- Where and when is Rosenborg vs Sandefjord played?
- Rosenborg vs Sandefjord is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Lerkendal Stadion, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.