Start vs Ham-Kam: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 23Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sparebanken Sør Arena, Kristiansand
The Footlab AI model makes Start the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Ham-Kam. The most likely score is 1-1. If Start wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Start vs Ham-Kam?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Start (1,884) and Ham-Kam (1,916).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Start vs Ham-Kam
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Start
5-3-2- 20H. Lorentzen
- 9N. Koutsakos
- 23E. Segberg
- 10S. Mvoué
- 18M. Ugland
- 27O. Toure
- 3A. Ujkani
- 29E. Reitan
- 6J. Norheim
- 5S. Granheim
- 26M. Sjøeng
Ham-Kam
5-3-2- 11M. Ofkir
- 28David Benjamin
- 14L. Mares
- 8M. Johnsgård
- 26P. Metcalfe
- 3E. Amundsen-Day
- 22S. Nilsen
- 23F. Sjølstad
- 2M. Gjone
- 7V. Jónsson
- 12M. Sandberg
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Start have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Ham-Kam have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Raufoss(away) | 5-1 | NM Cupen |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Brann(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sandefjord(away) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Vindbjart(away) | 3-2 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Brann(home) | 2-0 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tromso(away) | 2-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Kjelsås(away) | 2-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Molde(home) | 1-5 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rosenborg(away) | 0-4 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(home) | 2-2 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Start wins, 0 draws, 4 Ham-Kam wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ham-Kam 2-1 Start | Eliteserien |
| Feb 20, 2023 | Start 2-1 Ham-Kam | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 20, 2023 | Ham-Kam 1-2 Start | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 29, 2021 | Ham-Kam 3-2 Start | 1. Division |
| Jul 5, 2021 | Start 1-4 Ham-Kam | 1. Division |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Ham-Kam 4-0 Start | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Start score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ham-Kam score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Start | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Ham-Kam | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Start sit 16th in Eliteserien (16 points from 21 matches) and Ham-Kam sit 13th (23 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Ham-Kam | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 44 | 23 |
| 16 | Start | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 44 | 16 |
A question about Start vs Ham-Kam?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Start vs Ham-Kam?
- The Footlab AI model makes Start the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Ham-Kam.
- Where and when is Start vs Ham-Kam played?
- Start vs Ham-Kam is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sparebanken Sør Arena, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.