Brann vs Viking: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 23Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Brann Stadion, Bergen
The Footlab model makes Viking the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Brann. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brann vs Viking?
Viking starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (2,190 vs 2,051).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brann have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Viking have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | PAOK(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ham-Kam(home) | 3-0 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rosenborg(home) | 3-2 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rosenborg(away) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF(home) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Start(away) | 3-0 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Aalesund(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Brann win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Viking win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Viking 3-2 Brann | Eliteserien |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Viking 3-0 Brann | Eliteserien |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Brann 3-1 Viking | Eliteserien |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Brann 2-2 Viking | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Brann 1-1 Viking | Eliteserien |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Viking 1-1 Brann | Eliteserien |
How many goals should we expect?
Brann score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Viking score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brann | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Viking | 2.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brann sit 6th in Eliteserien (25 points from 17 matches) and Viking sit 2nd (40 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Viking | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 17 | 40 |
| 6 | Brann | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 27 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brann vs Viking?
- The Footlab model makes Viking the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Brann.
- Where and when is Brann vs Viking played?
- Brann vs Viking is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Brann Stadion, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.