Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 21Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Aspmyra Stadion, Bodø
The Footlab model makes Bodo/Glimt the favourite at 81%, against 12% for a draw and 7% for Sandefjord. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord?
Bodo/Glimt is a heavy favourite: 2,277 Elo points against 1,928 — a 348-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bodo/Glimt have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Sandefjord have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Valerenga(away) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(away) | 3-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lillestrom(home) | 4-0 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eidanger(away) | 15-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF(away) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 7, 2026 | KFUM Oslo(home) | 0-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fredrikstad(away) | 0-1 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(home) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Bodo/Glimt win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Sandefjord win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sandefjord 0-3 Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Sandefjord 1-2 Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Bodo/Glimt 2-0 Sandefjord | Eliteserien |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Sandefjord 2-1 Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien |
| May 29, 2024 | Bodo/Glimt 1-1 Sandefjord | Eliteserien |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Bodo/Glimt 4-3 Sandefjord | Eliteserien |
Last archived meeting: Sandefjord vs Bodo/Glimt on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bodo/Glimt score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sandefjord score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt | 2.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Sandefjord | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bodo/Glimt sit 1st in Eliteserien (41 points from 17 matches) and Sandefjord sit 13th (18 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 43 | 12 | 41 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 23 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord?
- The Footlab model makes Bodo/Glimt the favourite at 81%, against 12% for a draw and 7% for Sandefjord.
- Where and when is Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord played?
- Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Aspmyra Stadion, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.