KFUM Oslo vs Aalesund: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 21Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)KFUM Arena, Oslo
The Footlab model makes KFUM Oslo the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Aalesund. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KFUM Oslo vs Aalesund?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate KFUM Oslo (1,923) and Aalesund (1,932).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KFUM Oslo have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Aalesund have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | IF Ready(away) | 4-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lillestrom(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sandefjord(away) | 1-0 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(home) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Molde(home) | 2-4 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Langevag(away) | 13-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Valerenga(home) | 5-5 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ham-Kam(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tromso(home) | 2-6 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Viking(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 KFUM Oslo win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Aalesund win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Aalesund 2-2 KFUM Oslo | Eliteserien |
| Oct 29, 2021 | KFUM Oslo 2-4 Aalesund | 1. Division |
| May 23, 2021 | Aalesund 1-0 KFUM Oslo | 1. Division |
| Sep 18, 2019 | Aalesund 2-1 KFUM Oslo | 1. Division |
| Jul 21, 2019 | KFUM Oslo 2-4 Aalesund | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Aalesund vs KFUM Oslo on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KFUM Oslo score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Aalesund score 2.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KFUM Oslo | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Aalesund | 2.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KFUM Oslo sit 12th in Eliteserien (19 points from 17 matches) and Aalesund sit 15th (15 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | KFUM Oslo | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 19 |
| 15 | Aalesund | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 41 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KFUM Oslo vs Aalesund?
- The Footlab model makes KFUM Oslo the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Aalesund.
- Where and when is KFUM Oslo vs Aalesund played?
- KFUM Oslo vs Aalesund is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at KFUM Arena, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.