Ham-Kam vs Molde: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 21Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Briskeby Arena, Hamar
The Footlab model makes Molde the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Ham-Kam. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ham-Kam vs Molde?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Ham-Kam (1,936) and Molde (1,994).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ham-Kam have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Molde have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Trysil FK(away) | 5-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Brann(away) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Aalesund(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Valerenga(away) | 3-0 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF(away) | 0-1 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Midsund(away) | 11-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tromso(home) | 3-2 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(away) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF(home) | 3-3 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 26, 2026 | KFUM Oslo(away) | 4-2 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ham-Kam win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Molde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Molde 4-1 Ham-Kam | Eliteserien |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Molde 1-0 Ham-Kam | Eliteserien |
| May 25, 2025 | Ham-Kam 2-1 Molde | Eliteserien |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Molde 3-0 Ham-Kam | Eliteserien |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Ham-Kam 0-1 Molde | Eliteserien |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Molde 1-1 Ham-Kam | Eliteserien |
How many goals should we expect?
Ham-Kam score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Molde score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ham-Kam | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Molde | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ham-Kam sit 10th in Eliteserien (22 points from 17 matches) and Molde sit 4th (27 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Molde | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 27 |
| 10 | Ham-Kam | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 30 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ham-Kam vs Molde?
- The Footlab model makes Molde the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Ham-Kam.
- Where and when is Ham-Kam vs Molde played?
- Ham-Kam vs Molde is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Briskeby Arena, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.