Start vs Brann: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 21Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sparebanken Sør Arena, Kristiansand
The Footlab model makes Brann the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Start. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Start vs Brann?
Brann starts as the favourite with a 205-point Elo edge (2,050 vs 1,845).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Start have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Brann have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Flekkefjord(away) | 2-1 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fredrikstad(home) | 0-1 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Viking(home) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(away) | 2-1 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Rosenborg(home) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | PAOK(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ham-Kam(home) | 3-0 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rosenborg(home) | 3-2 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Start win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Brann win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2026 | Brann 2-1 Start | Eliteserien |
| Aug 4, 2022 | Brann 1-0 Start | 1. Division |
| Jul 7, 2022 | Start 0-2 Brann | 1. Division |
| Dec 9, 2020 | Start 1-1 Brann | Eliteserien |
| Jul 19, 2020 | Brann 1-1 Start | Eliteserien |
| Aug 6, 2018 | Brann 4-1 Start | Eliteserien |
How many goals should we expect?
Start score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Brann score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Start | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Brann | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Start sit 16th in Eliteserien (10 points from 17 matches) and Brann sit 6th (25 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Brann | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 27 | 25 |
| 16 | Start | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Start vs Brann?
- The Footlab model makes Brann the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Start.
- Where and when is Start vs Brann played?
- Start vs Brann is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sparebanken Sør Arena, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.