Where and when is Borussia Dortmund vs 1899 Hoffenheim played?

Borussia Dortmund vs 1899 Hoffenheim is played on January 30, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Borussia Dortmund vs 1899 Hoffenheim: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

1899 Hoffenheim

The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for 1899 Hoffenheim. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Borussia Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (2,290 vs 2,161).

Borussia Dortmund win57 %

Draw21 %

1899 Hoffenheim win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Dortmund have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; 1899 Hoffenheim have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Borussia Dortmund
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bayern München(home)	1-2	Super Cup
Aug 15, 2026	AS Roma(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026	Arsenal(away)	3-2	Emirates Cup
Aug 1, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

1899 Hoffenheim
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Erzgebirge Aue(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Tottenham(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Karlsruher SC(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Holstein Kiel(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	SGV Freiberg(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Borussia Dortmund win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 1899 Hoffenheim win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	1899 Hoffenheim 2-1 Borussia Dortmund	Bundesliga
Dec 7, 2025	Borussia Dortmund 2-0 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga
Apr 26, 2025	1899 Hoffenheim 2-3 Borussia Dortmund	Bundesliga
Dec 15, 2024	Borussia Dortmund 1-1 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga
Feb 25, 2024	Borussia Dortmund 2-3 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga
Nov 1, 2023	Borussia Dortmund 1-0 1899 Hoffenheim	DFB Pokal

Last archived meeting: 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Borussia Dortmund score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; 1899 Hoffenheim score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Borussia Dortmund	1.7	1.2	4	8/15	9/15
1899 Hoffenheim	1.9	1.9	4	8/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd in Bundesliga (73 points from 34 matches) and 1899 Hoffenheim sit 5th (61 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	22	7	5	70	34	73
5	1899 Hoffenheim	34	18	7	9	65	52	61

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Borussia Dortmund vs 1899 Hoffenheim?: The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for 1899 Hoffenheim.
Where and when is Borussia Dortmund vs 1899 Hoffenheim played?: Borussia Dortmund vs 1899 Hoffenheim is played on January 30, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.