Match

RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

RB LeipzigWerder Bremen

The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Werder Bremen. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen?

RB Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (2,219 vs 2,082).

61%20%19%
RB Leipzig winDrawWerder Bremen win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

RB Leipzig

4-2-3-1
  1. 40Rômulo
  1. 7A. Nusa
  2. 6E. Banzuzi
  3. 21N. El Aynaoui
  4. 28C. Nkunku
  5. 10B. Gruda
  1. 4W. Orbán
  2. 22D. Raum
  3. 17R. Baku
  4. 23C. Lukeba
  1. 26M. Vandevoordt

Werder Bremen

4-2-3-1
  1. 10N. Füllkrug
  1. 15L. Reis
  2. 20Chuky San José
  3. 17M. Grüll
  4. 44Y. Regeer
  5. 18E. Dinkçi
  1. 2O. Deman
  2. 32M. Friedl
  3. 5A. Pieper
  4. 13Arthur
  1. 1K. Hein

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:42 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RB Leipzig have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Werder Bremen have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

RB Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026PSV Eindhoven(home)1-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)6-0Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-2Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026Hamburger SV(home)5-0Bundesliga
Sep 10, 2026Como(away)1-4UEFA Champions League
Werder Bremen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Borussia Dortmund(away)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 19, 2026FC Augsburg(home)3-2Bundesliga
Sep 12, 20261. FC Köln(away)1-1Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026RB Leipzig(home)3-1Bundesliga
Aug 30, 2026SC Freiburg(away)1-4Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 RB Leipzig wins, 2 draws, 1 Werder Bremen win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 5, 2026Werder Bremen 3-1 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Apr 4, 2026Werder Bremen 1-2 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Nov 23, 2025RB Leipzig 2-0 Werder BremenBundesliga
May 10, 2025Werder Bremen 0-0 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Jan 12, 2025RB Leipzig 4-2 Werder BremenBundesliga
May 11, 2024RB Leipzig 1-1 Werder BremenBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig on Sep 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Werder Bremen score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
RB Leipzig2.21.576/1511/15
Werder Bremen2.01.539/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

RB Leipzig sit 5th in Bundesliga (9 points from 5 matches) and Werder Bremen sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5RB Leipzig53021559
7Werder Bremen522110108

A question about RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen?
The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Werder Bremen.
Where and when is RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen played?
RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen is played on January 30, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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