VfB Stuttgart vs 1899 Hoffenheim: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)MHPArena, Stuttgart
The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for 1899 Hoffenheim. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate VfB Stuttgart (2,252) and 1899 Hoffenheim (2,163).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Stuttgart have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; 1899 Hoffenheim have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 4-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Everton(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(away) | 8-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(away) | 4-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Holstein Kiel(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | SGV Freiberg(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 VfB Stuttgart win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 1899 Hoffenheim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim 3-3 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| Dec 20, 2025 | VfB Stuttgart 0-0 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1899 Hoffenheim 1-1 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| Oct 6, 2024 | VfB Stuttgart 1-1 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1899 Hoffenheim 0-3 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| Oct 28, 2023 | VfB Stuttgart 2-3 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VfB Stuttgart score 3.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; 1899 Hoffenheim score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 3.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 1.9 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfB Stuttgart sit 4th in Bundesliga (62 points from 34 matches) and 1899 Hoffenheim sit 5th (61 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 62 |
| 5 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 61 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfB Stuttgart vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
- The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for 1899 Hoffenheim.
- Where and when is VfB Stuttgart vs 1899 Hoffenheim played?
- VfB Stuttgart vs 1899 Hoffenheim is played on February 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at MHPArena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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