Match

SC Freiburg vs SC Paderborn 07: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau

SC FreiburgSC Paderborn 07

The Footlab AI model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for SC Paderborn 07. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,889 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC Freiburg vs SC Paderborn 07?

SC Freiburg starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (2,223 vs 2,104).

62%20%18%
SC Freiburg winDrawSC Paderborn 07 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for SC Freiburg vs SC Paderborn 07

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

SC Freiburg

4-2-3-1
  1. 31I. Matanović
  1. 8M. Eggestein
  2. 14Y. Suzuki
  3. 19J. Beste
  4. 7D. Scherhant
  5. 16Y. Engelhardt
  1. 28M. Ginter
  2. 29P. Treu
  3. 33J. Makengo
  4. 3P. Lienhart
  1. 1M. Backhaus

SC Paderborn 07

3-5-2
  1. 30S. Marino
  2. 27S. Tigges
  1. 5S. Castañeda
  2. 17L. Curda
  3. 40G. Vidović
  4. 23R. Obermair
  5. 28L. Ulrich
  1. 21J. ter Horst
  2. 25T. Scheller
  3. 22M. Hansen
  1. 15N. Noll

Computed on October 30, 2026 at 05:01 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Freiburg have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; SC Paderborn 07 have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Freiburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 28, 2026VfL Wolfsburg(home)3-2DFB Pokal
Oct 25, 2026Bayern München(home)1-3Bundesliga
Oct 22, 2026Monaco(away)0-3UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 18, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)1-2Bundesliga
Oct 15, 2026FK Jablonec(home)3-2UEFA Europa Conference League
SC Paderborn 07
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 28, 2026VfB Stuttgart(home)0-1DFB Pokal
Oct 24, 2026Hamburger SV(home)1-0Bundesliga
Oct 17, 2026Werder Bremen(away)2-2Bundesliga
Oct 10, 2026VfB Stuttgart(home)0-2Bundesliga
Sep 30, 2026DC United(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SC Freiburg wins, 0 draws, 2 SC Paderborn 07 wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 5, 2026SC Paderborn 07 0-1 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Nov 1, 2023SC Freiburg 1-3 SC Paderborn 07DFB Pokal
Jan 25, 2020SC Freiburg 0-2 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga
Aug 24, 2019SC Paderborn 07 1-3 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Apr 29, 2016SC Paderborn 07 1-2 SC Freiburg2. Bundesliga
Nov 22, 2015SC Freiburg 4-1 SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg on Sep 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SC Freiburg score 2.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; SC Paderborn 07 score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SC Freiburg2.71.4311/1514/15
SC Paderborn 071.31.065/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SC Freiburg sit 3rd in Bundesliga (13 points from 7 matches) and SC Paderborn 07 sit 13th (8 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3SC Freiburg741216913
13SC Paderborn 077223698

A question about SC Freiburg vs SC Paderborn 07?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC Freiburg vs SC Paderborn 07?
The Footlab AI model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for SC Paderborn 07.
Where and when is SC Freiburg vs SC Paderborn 07 played?
SC Freiburg vs SC Paderborn 07 is played on January 30, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Europa-Park Stadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: SC Freiburg and SC Paderborn 07

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