Where and when is SC Freiburg vs SC Paderborn 07 played?

SC Freiburg vs SC Paderborn 07 is played on January 30, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Europa-Park Stadion, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SC Freiburg vs SC Paderborn 07: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau

SC Freiburg

SC Paderborn 07

The Footlab model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for SC Paderborn 07. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC Freiburg vs SC Paderborn 07?

SC Freiburg starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (2,192 vs 2,090).

SC Freiburg win52 %

Draw23 %

SC Paderborn 07 win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Freiburg have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; SC Paderborn 07 have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Freiburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Fortuna Düsseldorf(away)	5-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 20, 2026	Motherwell(away)	3-1	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 15, 2026	Crystal Palace(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Strasbourg(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Derby(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

SC Paderborn 07
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Phönix Lübeck(away)	4-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026	Werder Bremen(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	VfL Osnabrück(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 25, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(home)	2-1	Bundesliga
May 21, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(away)	0-0	Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SC Freiburg win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 SC Paderborn 07 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 1, 2023	SC Freiburg 1-3 SC Paderborn 07	DFB Pokal
Jan 25, 2020	SC Freiburg 0-2 SC Paderborn 07	Bundesliga
Aug 24, 2019	SC Paderborn 07 1-3 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
Apr 29, 2016	SC Paderborn 07 1-2 SC Freiburg	2. Bundesliga
Nov 22, 2015	SC Freiburg 4-1 SC Paderborn 07	2. Bundesliga
May 2, 2015	SC Freiburg 1-2 SC Paderborn 07	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Freiburg vs SC Paderborn 07 on Nov 1, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

SC Freiburg score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SC Paderborn 07 score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SC Freiburg	2.2	1.5	2	11/15	13/15
SC Paderborn 07	1.9	1.5	4	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	SC Freiburg	34	13	8	13	51	57	47

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC Freiburg vs SC Paderborn 07?: The Footlab model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for SC Paderborn 07.
Where and when is SC Freiburg vs SC Paderborn 07 played?: SC Freiburg vs SC Paderborn 07 is played on January 30, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Europa-Park Stadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.