Where and when is Bayern München vs FC Schalke 04 played?

Bayern München vs FC Schalke 04 is played on January 30, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Allianz Arena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bayern München vs FC Schalke 04: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Allianz Arena, München

Bayern München

FC Schalke 04

The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for FC Schalke 04. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bayern München vs FC Schalke 04?

Bayern München is a heavy favourite: 2,525 Elo points against 2,062, a 463-point gap.

Bayern München win75 %

Draw15 %

FC Schalke 04 win10 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayern München have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; FC Schalke 04 have 11, 0 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bayern München
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(away)	2-1	Super Cup
Aug 18, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(away)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	RB Leipzig(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 7, 2026	Aston Villa(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026	Jeju United FC(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

FC Schalke 04
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Hallescher FC(away)	5-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Real Madrid(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Atalanta(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Hessen Kassel(away)	5-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Bayern München win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 FC Schalke 04 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 13, 2023	Bayern München 6-0 FC Schalke 04	Bundesliga
Nov 12, 2022	FC Schalke 04 0-2 Bayern München	Bundesliga
Jan 24, 2021	FC Schalke 04 0-4 Bayern München	Bundesliga
Sep 18, 2020	Bayern München 8-0 FC Schalke 04	Bundesliga
Mar 3, 2020	FC Schalke 04 0-1 Bayern München	DFB Pokal
Jan 25, 2020	Bayern München 5-0 FC Schalke 04	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Bayern München vs FC Schalke 04 on May 13, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Bayern München score 2.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Schalke 04 score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bayern München	2.7	1.5	3	12/15	12/15
FC Schalke 04	2.1	1.3	5	7/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayern München	34	28	5	1	122	36	89

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bayern München vs FC Schalke 04?: The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for FC Schalke 04.
Where and when is Bayern München vs FC Schalke 04 played?: Bayern München vs FC Schalke 04 is played on January 30, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Allianz Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.