Where and when is 1. FC Köln vs VfB Stuttgart played?

1. FC Köln vs VfB Stuttgart is played on January 30, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at RheinEnergieSTADION, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

1. FC Köln vs VfB Stuttgart: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)RheinEnergieSTADION, Köln

1. FC Köln

VfB Stuttgart

The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for 1. FC Köln. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Köln vs VfB Stuttgart?

VfB Stuttgart starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (2,250 vs 2,048).

1. FC Köln win30 %

Draw22 %

VfB Stuttgart win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Köln have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; VfB Stuttgart have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Köln
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Würzburger Kickers(away)	2-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026	Real Sociedad(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026	Hertha BSC(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 23, 2026	Bergisch Gladbach(away)	8-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-5	Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Hansa Rostock(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Fulham(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Everton(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Paris FC(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Kickers Offenbach(away)	8-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 1. FC Köln win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 VfB Stuttgart win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 14, 2026	VfB Stuttgart 3-1 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Sep 28, 2025	1. FC Köln 1-2 VfB Stuttgart	Bundesliga
Feb 24, 2024	VfB Stuttgart 1-1 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Sep 30, 2023	1. FC Köln 0-2 VfB Stuttgart	Bundesliga
Feb 18, 2023	VfB Stuttgart 3-0 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Nov 19, 2022	1. FC Köln 2-4 VfB Stuttgart	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Stuttgart score 3.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
1. FC Köln	2.0	1.9	1	13/15	12/15
VfB Stuttgart	3.1	1.3	4	9/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Köln sit 14th in Bundesliga (32 points from 34 matches) and VfB Stuttgart sit 4th (62 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	18	8	8	71	49	62
14	1. FC Köln	34	7	11	16	49	63	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Köln vs VfB Stuttgart?: The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for 1. FC Köln.
Where and when is 1. FC Köln vs VfB Stuttgart played?: 1. FC Köln vs VfB Stuttgart is played on January 30, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at RheinEnergieSTADION, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.