Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv
The Footlab model makes Botev Plovdiv the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Slavia Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Botev Plovdiv (1,801) and Slavia Sofia (1,745).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botev Plovdiv have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Slavia Sofia have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Spartak Varna(home) | 3-2 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 2-3 | First League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(away) | 3-0 | First League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Jul 20, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Botev Plovdiv win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Slavia Sofia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Slavia Sofia 0-1 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Botev Plovdiv 1-1 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| Mar 3, 2025 | Slavia Sofia 3-2 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Botev Plovdiv 1-0 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| May 20, 2024 | Slavia Sofia 3-1 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Botev Plovdiv 0-1 Slavia Sofia | First League |
Last archived meeting: Slavia Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Botev Plovdiv score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Slavia Sofia score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Plovdiv | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Slavia Sofia | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botev Plovdiv sit 6th in First League (7 points from 5 matches) and Slavia Sofia sit 9th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 9 | Slavia Sofia | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?
- The Footlab model makes Botev Plovdiv the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Slavia Sofia.
- Where and when is Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia played?
- Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hristo Botev, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.