Match

Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia: prediction and stats

First LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv

Botev PlovdivSlavia Sofia

The Footlab AI model makes Botev Plovdiv the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Slavia Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Botev Plovdiv wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?

On Elo ratings, Botev Plovdiv has 1,787 points and Slavia Sofia 1,707.

50%27%23%
Botev Plovdiv winDrawSlavia Sofia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Botev Plovdiv

4-2-3-1
  1. 90S. Kalu
  1. 10A. Chandarov
  2. 77Lucas Araújo
  3. 13S. Tsonov
  4. 16V. Vidolov
  5. 7Alberto Salido
  1. 27B. Hein
  2. 87S. Petrov
  3. 82V. Mendes
  4. 4N. Soldo
  1. 29D. Naumov

Slavia Sofia

4-2-3-1
  1. 77E. Stoev
  1. 95V. Miletić
  2. 73I. Minchev
  3. 10V. Nikolov
  4. 11M. Dosso
  5. 27Umaro Baldé
  1. 5David Malembana
  2. 87D. Ferraresso
  3. 4N. Savić
  4. 20J. Semedo Varela
  1. 99I. Andonov

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:14 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botev Plovdiv have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Slavia Sofia have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Botev Plovdiv
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 19, 2026Septemvri Sofia(away)3-0First League
Sep 13, 2026Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home)2-0First League
Sep 4, 2026Arda Kardzhali(away)3-2First League
Aug 30, 2026Levski Sofia(home)1-3First League
Aug 24, 2026Botev Vratsa(away)0-1First League
Slavia Sofia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Botev Vratsa(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 18, 2026CSKA 1948(home)1-2First League
Sep 13, 2026Spartak Varna(home)0-0First League
Sep 7, 2026Dunav Ruse(away)1-0First League
Sep 2, 2026Levski Sofia(home)1-2First League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Botev Plovdiv wins, 1 draw, 3 Slavia Sofia wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 20, 2026Slavia Sofia 0-1 Botev PlovdivFirst League
Oct 18, 2025Botev Plovdiv 1-1 Slavia SofiaFirst League
Mar 3, 2025Slavia Sofia 3-2 Botev PlovdivFirst League
Oct 19, 2024Botev Plovdiv 1-0 Slavia SofiaFirst League
May 20, 2024Slavia Sofia 3-1 Botev PlovdivFirst League
Apr 27, 2024Botev Plovdiv 0-1 Slavia SofiaFirst League

Last archived meeting: Slavia Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv on Mar 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Botev Plovdiv score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Slavia Sofia score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Botev Plovdiv1.71.358/159/15
Slavia Sofia1.11.057/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Botev Plovdiv sit 6th in First League (16 points from 10 matches) and Slavia Sofia sit 7th (11 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Botev Plovdiv10514161416
7Slavia Sofia102539811

A question about Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?
The Footlab AI model makes Botev Plovdiv the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Slavia Sofia.
Where and when is Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia played?
Botev Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia is played on October 10, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hristo Botev, in the First League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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