CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Vitosha, Bistrica
The Footlab model makes CSKA 1948 the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for CSKA Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate CSKA 1948 (1,916) and CSKA Sofia (1,951).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA 1948 have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; CSKA Sofia have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Panathinaikos(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | OFI(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 5-0 | First League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 3-0 | First League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 CSKA 1948 win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 CSKA Sofia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | CSKA Sofia 1-1 CSKA 1948 | First League |
| May 8, 2026 | CSKA 1948 0-1 CSKA Sofia | First League |
| Feb 14, 2026 | CSKA 1948 0-2 CSKA Sofia | First League |
| Feb 10, 2026 | CSKA Sofia 2-0 CSKA 1948 | Cup |
| Aug 24, 2025 | CSKA Sofia 0-1 CSKA 1948 | First League |
| Dec 7, 2024 | CSKA Sofia 2-2 CSKA 1948 | First League |
Last archived meeting: CSKA Sofia vs CSKA 1948 on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CSKA 1948 score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Sofia score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA 1948 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| CSKA Sofia | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSKA 1948 sit 4th in First League (13 points from 6 matches) and CSKA Sofia sit 3rd (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CSKA Sofia | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia?
- The Footlab model makes CSKA 1948 the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for CSKA Sofia.
- Where and when is CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia played?
- CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Vitosha, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.