Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dragalevtsi, Sofia
The Footlab AI model makes Dunav Ruse the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Septemvri Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dunav Ruse wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Septemvri Sofia (1,637) and Dunav Ruse (1,676).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Septemvri Sofia
4-2-3-1- 29F. Herard
- 5Y. Baurenski
- 6Pedro Ferreira
- 8B. Penchev
- 13K. Önaşçı
- 33G. Ivanov
- 4M. Hristov
- 26V. Ozornwafor
- 3Sebastian Wade
- 20B. Tomovski
- 12V. Ivanov
Dunav Ruse
3-5-2- 11D. Minchev
- 9Álex Valiño
- 14R. Apostolov
- 44V. Vidaković
- 23Jordan Layn Saint-Louis
- 10K. Boychev
- 24S. Gavrilov
- 88D. Todorov
- 5K. Antoniou
- 2M. Dilchovski
- 33G. Kitanov
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 09:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Sofia have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Dunav Ruse have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(home) | 0-3 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-3 | First League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 23, 2026 | CSKA 1948(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ludogorets II(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | CSKA 1948(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(home) | 2-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Septemvri Sofia win, 3 draws, 2 Dunav Ruse wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2024 | Septemvri Sofia 1-2 Dunav Ruse | Second League |
| Oct 2, 2023 | Dunav Ruse 1-1 Septemvri Sofia | Second League |
| Apr 26, 2019 | Septemvri Sofia 1-1 Dunav Ruse | First League |
| Apr 8, 2019 | Dunav Ruse 2-2 Septemvri Sofia | First League |
| Dec 9, 2018 | Septemvri Sofia 2-1 Dunav Ruse | First League |
| Aug 24, 2018 | Dunav Ruse 2-0 Septemvri Sofia | First League |
Last archived meeting: Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse on Apr 22, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Septemvri Sofia score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dunav Ruse score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Sofia | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Dunav Ruse | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Septemvri Sofia sit 10th in First League (8 points from 10 matches) and Dunav Ruse sit 14th (5 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 8 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 5 |
A question about Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dunav Ruse the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Septemvri Sofia.
- Where and when is Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse played?
- Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dragalevtsi, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.