Bournemouth vs Coventry: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, Dorset
The Footlab AI model makes Bournemouth the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Coventry. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bournemouth wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Coventry?
Bournemouth starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (2,252 vs 2,116).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bournemouth vs Coventry
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bournemouth
4-2-3-1- 9Evanilson
- 16M. Tavernier
- 37Rayan
- 12T. Adams
- 10R. Christie
- 7D. Brooks
- 5J. Hill
- 14António Silva
- 15A. Smith
- 3A. Truffert
- 1Đ. Petrović
Coventry
4-2-3-1- 49S. Cherif
- 6M. Grimes
- 5J. Rudoni
- 10E. Mason-Clark
- 8Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
- 23B. Thomas-Asante
- 4B. Thomas
- 3J. Dasilva
- 2E. Pinnock
- 27M. van Ewijk
- 19C. Rushworth
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bournemouth have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Coventry have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 1-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Liverpool(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Real Sociedad(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 4-0 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Newcastle(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bournemouth wins, 1 draw, 2 Coventry wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2022 | Coventry 0-3 Bournemouth | Championship |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Bournemouth 2-2 Coventry | Championship |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Bournemouth 4-1 Coventry | Championship |
| Oct 2, 2020 | Coventry 1-3 Bournemouth | Championship |
| Feb 26, 2013 | Bournemouth 0-2 Coventry | League One |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Coventry 1-0 Bournemouth | League One |
Last archived meeting: Coventry vs Bournemouth on Apr 18, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Bournemouth score 2.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Coventry score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| Coventry | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bournemouth sit 18th in Premier League (3 points from 6 matches) and Coventry sit 14th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 6 |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 3 |
A question about Bournemouth vs Coventry?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bournemouth vs Coventry?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bournemouth the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Coventry.
- Where and when is Bournemouth vs Coventry played?
- Bournemouth vs Coventry is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Vitality Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.