Brentford vs Newcastle: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford, Middlesex
The Footlab AI model makes Brentford the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Newcastle. The most likely score is 1-1. If Brentford wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brentford vs Newcastle?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Brentford (2,253) and Newcastle (2,181).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brentford vs Newcastle
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brentford
4-2-3-1- 9Thiago
- 27V. Janelt
- 19J. Anthony
- 6Y. Yarmolyuk
- 7K. Schade
- 11D. Ouattara
- 20K. Ajer
- 23K. Lewis-Potter
- 33M. Kayode
- 44Jannik Schuster
- 1C. Kelleher
Newcastle
4-2-3-1- 9Y. Wissa
- 11H. Barnes
- 28J. Willock
- 20M. Fernandez-Pardo
- 6Nico González
- 23J. Murphy
- 4S. Botman
- 3L. Hall
- 12M. Thiaw
- 67L. Miley
- 21L. Horníček
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 08:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brentford have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Newcastle have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Liverpool(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Chelsea(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Reading(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Brentford wins, 0 draws, 3 Newcastle wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Newcastle 2-3 Brentford | Premier League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Brentford 3-1 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Newcastle 2-1 Brentford | Premier League |
| Dec 18, 2024 | Newcastle 3-1 Brentford | League Cup |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Brentford 4-2 Newcastle | Premier League |
| May 19, 2024 | Brentford 2-4 Newcastle | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Newcastle vs Brentford on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brentford score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Newcastle score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford | 2.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Newcastle | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brentford sit 6th in Premier League (10 points from 7 matches) and Newcastle sit 11th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 8 |
A question about Brentford vs Newcastle?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brentford vs Newcastle?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brentford the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Newcastle.
- Where and when is Brentford vs Newcastle played?
- Brentford vs Newcastle is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gtech Community Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.