Manchester City vs Hull City: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Etihad Stadium, Manchester
The Footlab model makes Manchester City the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Hull City. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manchester City vs Hull City?
Manchester City is a heavy favourite: 2,372 Elo points against 1,943, a 429-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manchester City have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Hull City have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 0-3 | Community Shield |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | K-League Stars(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Inter(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nice(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Manchester City win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hull City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | Manchester City 3-1 Hull City | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2016 | Hull City 0-3 Manchester City | Premier League |
| Dec 1, 2015 | Manchester City 4-1 Hull City | League Cup |
| Feb 7, 2015 | Manchester City 1-1 Hull City | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Hull City 2-4 Manchester City | Premier League |
| Mar 15, 2014 | Hull City 0-2 Manchester City | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Manchester City vs Hull City on Apr 8, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Manchester City score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hull City score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Hull City | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Manchester City sit 7th in Premier League (3 points from 1 matches) and Hull City sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hull City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Manchester City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manchester City vs Hull City?
- The Footlab model makes Manchester City the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Hull City.
- Where and when is Manchester City vs Hull City played?
- Manchester City vs Hull City is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Etihad Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.