Liverpool vs Tottenham: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Anfield, Liverpool
The Footlab AI model makes Liverpool the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Tottenham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Liverpool wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Liverpool vs Tottenham?
Liverpool starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (2,294 vs 2,168).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Liverpool vs Tottenham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Liverpool
4-2-3-1- 67L. Koumas
- 7F. Wirtz
- 10A. Mac Allister
- 29B. Barcola
- 23Víctor Muñoz
- 38R. Gravenberch
- 33R. Araújo
- 4V. van Dijk
- 5J. Jacquet
- 6M. Kerkez
- 1Alisson Becker
Tottenham
4-2-3-1- 19D. Solanke
- 16S. Tonali
- 17Sávio
- 8C. Gallagher
- 15L. Bergvall
- 20M. Kudus
- 6J. van Hecke
- 14A. Gray
- 13D. Udogie
- 5M. Senesi
- 31A. Kinský
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Liverpool have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Tottenham have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Manchester City(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fulham(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Manchester United(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Everton(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Liverpool wins, 1 draw, 1 Tottenham win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Liverpool 3-1 Tottenham | League Cup |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Liverpool 1-1 Tottenham | Premier League |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Tottenham 1-2 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Liverpool 5-1 Tottenham | Premier League |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Liverpool 4-0 Tottenham | League Cup |
| Jan 8, 2025 | Tottenham 1-0 Liverpool | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Liverpool vs Tottenham on Sep 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Liverpool score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tottenham score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 1.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Tottenham | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Liverpool sit 9th in Premier League (9 points from 6 matches) and Tottenham sit 19th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
A question about Liverpool vs Tottenham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Liverpool vs Tottenham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Liverpool the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Tottenham.
- Where and when is Liverpool vs Tottenham played?
- Liverpool vs Tottenham is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Anfield, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.