Hereford vs Southport: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 40Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Edgar Street Athletic Ground, Hereford, Herefordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Hereford the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Southport. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,509 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hereford vs Southport?
Hereford starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,984 vs 1,871).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hereford vs Southport
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hereford
Not enough data to predict the Hereford lineup.
Southport
Not enough data to predict the Southport lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 08:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hereford have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Southport have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Macclesfield(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hednesford Town(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bedford Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stafford Rangers(away) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 6-0 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 0-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(home) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hereford wins, 1 draw, 2 Southport wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Southport 0-1 Hereford | National League - North |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Southport 5-1 Hereford | National League - North |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Hereford 1-2 Southport | National League - North |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Hereford 1-1 Southport | National League - North |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Southport 1-4 Hereford | National League - North |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Southport 1-2 Hereford | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Southport vs Hereford on Aug 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hereford score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Southport score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hereford | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Southport | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hereford sit 1st in National League - North (26 points from 12 matches) and Southport sit 23rd (10 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 26 |
| 23 | Southport | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 23 | 10 |
A question about Hereford vs Southport?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hereford vs Southport?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hereford the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Southport.
- Where and when is Hereford vs Southport played?
- Hereford vs Southport is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Edgar Street Athletic Ground, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.