Match

Brown DE Adrogue vs Dock Sud: prediction and stats

Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 39Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla, Almirante Brown, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Brown DE AdrogueDock Sud

The Footlab model makes Dock Sud the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Brown DE Adrogue. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Brown DE Adrogue vs Dock Sud?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Brown DE Adrogue (1,620) and Dock Sud (1,651).

Brown DE Adrogue win31 %
Draw32 %
Dock Sud win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brown DE Adrogue have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Dock Sud have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Brown DE Adrogue
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026UAI Urquiza(home)1-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026Villa Dalmine(away)0-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 8, 2026Excursionistas(home)1-0Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 31, 2026Arsenal Sarandi(away)1-1Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 25, 2026Argentino de Merlo(home)1-0Primera B Metropolitana
Dock Sud
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Deportivo Camioneros(home)2-2Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 15, 2026Sportivo Italiano(away)0-4Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 9, 2026San Martín Burzaco(home)4-1Primera B Metropolitana
Aug 2, 2026Villa San Carlos(away)1-1Primera B Metropolitana
Jul 25, 2026Liniers(home)1-1Primera B Metropolitana

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Brown DE Adrogue win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Dock Sud win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 30, 2026Dock Sud 0-1 Brown DE AdroguePrimera B Metropolitana
Aug 17, 2025Dock Sud 1-3 Brown DE AdroguePrimera B Metropolitana
Mar 30, 2025Brown DE Adrogue 1-1 Dock SudPrimera B Metropolitana

Last archived meeting: Dock Sud vs Brown DE Adrogue on May 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Brown DE Adrogue score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dock Sud score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Brown DE Adrogue0.80.966/153/15
Dock Sud1.21.349/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Brown DE Adrogue sit 20th in Primera B Metropolitana (19 points from 20 matches) and Dock Sud sit 15th (23 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Dock Sud3181310343337
15Dock Sud20587201823
19Brown DE Adrogue3171113203232
20Brown DE Adrogue20479122319

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Brown DE Adrogue vs Dock Sud?
The Footlab model makes Dock Sud the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Brown DE Adrogue.
Where and when is Brown DE Adrogue vs Dock Sud played?
Brown DE Adrogue vs Dock Sud is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Brown DE Adrogue and Dock Sud

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