Brown DE Adrogue vs Dock Sud: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 39Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla, Almirante Brown, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Dock Sud the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Brown DE Adrogue. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brown DE Adrogue vs Dock Sud?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Brown DE Adrogue (1,620) and Dock Sud (1,651).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brown DE Adrogue have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Dock Sud have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | UAI Urquiza(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Villa Dalmine(away) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Excursionistas(home) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Arsenal Sarandi(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Argentino de Merlo(home) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Deportivo Camioneros(home) | 2-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sportivo Italiano(away) | 0-4 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San Martín Burzaco(home) | 4-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Villa San Carlos(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Liniers(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Brown DE Adrogue win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Dock Sud win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Dock Sud 0-1 Brown DE Adrogue | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Dock Sud 1-3 Brown DE Adrogue | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Brown DE Adrogue 1-1 Dock Sud | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: Dock Sud vs Brown DE Adrogue on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brown DE Adrogue score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dock Sud score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brown DE Adrogue | 0.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Dock Sud | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brown DE Adrogue sit 20th in Primera B Metropolitana (19 points from 20 matches) and Dock Sud sit 15th (23 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Dock Sud | 31 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 34 | 33 | 37 |
| 15 | Dock Sud | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 23 |
| 19 | Brown DE Adrogue | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 20 | 32 | 32 |
| 20 | Brown DE Adrogue | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brown DE Adrogue vs Dock Sud?
- The Footlab model makes Dock Sud the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Brown DE Adrogue.
- Where and when is Brown DE Adrogue vs Dock Sud played?
- Brown DE Adrogue vs Dock Sud is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Arsenal SarandivsSan Martín Burzaco
- Oct 10, 2026FlandriavsDefensores Unidos
- Oct 10, 2026Villa DalminevsLiniers
- Oct 10, 2026Deportivo LaferrerevsDeportivo Merlo
- Oct 10, 2026Talleres RemediosvsDeportivo Camioneros
- Oct 10, 2026UAI UrquizavsReal Pilar
- Oct 10, 2026Deportivo ArmeniovsComunicaciones
- Oct 10, 2026Argentino de MerlovsSportivo Italiano