Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 19Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Deportivo Cali, Palmira
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Cali the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Deportes Tolima. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Deportivo Cali (1,739) and Deportes Tolima (1,803).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Cali have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Deportes Tolima have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(away) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Independiente Medellin(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jaguares(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| May 24, 2026 | Real Santander(away) | 2-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(away) | 1-3 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bucaramanga(home) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Independiente Medellin(home) | 2-3 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Deportivo Cali win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Deportes Tolima win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Deportes Tolima 1-1 Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Deportes Tolima 2-1 Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
| May 3, 2025 | Deportivo Cali 1-1 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Deportes Tolima 1-1 Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Deportivo Cali 1-2 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| Nov 30, 2023 | Deportivo Cali 0-2 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Cali score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Deportes Tolima score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cali | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Deportes Tolima | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Cali sit 9th in Primera A (27 points from 19 matches) and Deportes Tolima sit 6th (31 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 37 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 31 |
| 8 | Deportivo Cali | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 27 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Cali the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Deportes Tolima.
- Where and when is Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima played?
- Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Deportivo Cali, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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