Match

Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 19Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Deportivo Cali, Palmira

Deportivo CaliDeportes Tolima

The Footlab model makes Deportivo Cali the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Deportes Tolima. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Deportivo Cali (1,739) and Deportes Tolima (1,803).

Deportivo Cali win47 %
Draw30 %
Deportes Tolima win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Cali have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Deportes Tolima have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Deportivo Cali
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Internacional de Bogota(home)2-2Primera A
Aug 9, 2026Deportivo Pasto(away)2-0Primera A
Aug 1, 2026Independiente Medellin(away)0-1Primera A
Jul 25, 2026Jaguares(home)2-0Primera A
May 24, 2026Real Santander(away)2-1Copa Colombia
Deportes Tolima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Independiente del Valle(away)1-3CONMEBOL Libertadores
Aug 22, 2026Bucaramanga(home)0-0Primera A
Aug 19, 2026Independiente del Valle(home)0-1CONMEBOL Libertadores
Aug 8, 2026Internacional de Bogota(home)2-1Primera A
Aug 4, 2026Independiente Medellin(home)2-3Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Deportivo Cali win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Deportes Tolima win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Deportes Tolima 1-1 Deportivo CaliPrimera A
Oct 25, 2025Deportes Tolima 2-1 Deportivo CaliPrimera A
May 3, 2025Deportivo Cali 1-1 Deportes TolimaPrimera A
Sep 8, 2024Deportes Tolima 1-1 Deportivo CaliPrimera A
Feb 27, 2024Deportivo Cali 1-2 Deportes TolimaPrimera A
Nov 30, 2023Deportivo Cali 0-2 Deportes TolimaPrimera A

Last archived meeting: Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Deportivo Cali score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Deportes Tolima score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Deportivo Cali1.50.766/154/15
Deportes Tolima1.11.348/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Deportivo Cali sit 9th in Primera A (27 points from 19 matches) and Deportes Tolima sit 6th (31 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Deportes Tolima53118610
3Deportes Tolima231076312137
6Deportes Tolima19874271731
8Deportivo Cali4211637
9Deportivo Cali19766201627
9Deportivo Cali19766201627

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima?
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Cali the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Deportes Tolima.
Where and when is Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima played?
Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Deportivo Cali, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Ready to know everything about football?