Burgos vs Tenerife: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 31Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, Burgos
The Footlab AI model makes Burgos the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Tenerife. The most likely score is 1-1. If Burgos wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,545 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burgos vs Tenerife?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Burgos (2,043) and Tenerife (2,007).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burgos vs Tenerife
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burgos
5-3-2- 19Javi Llabrés
- 9Álex Forés
- 12Unai Vencedor
- 4P. Galdames
- 16Curro Sánchez
- 15Oier Luengo
- 8Grego
- 22Brais Martínez
- 2Álex
- 23Alberto Dadie
- 13Ander Cantero
Tenerife
4-4-2- 18Enric Gallego
- 17C. Gomis
- 10Nacho Gil
- 6Juanjo
- 11Noel López
- 16Jesús Álvarez
- 12A. Landázuri
- 2David Rodríguez
- 27N. Viereck
- 3R. Jureškin
- 1Dani Martín
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 02:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burgos have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Tenerife have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 4-2 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 26, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sabadell(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Girona(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Burgos win, 2 draws, 3 Tenerife wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | Tenerife 0-0 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Burgos 1-0 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| May 26, 2024 | Burgos 1-1 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Tenerife 2-1 Burgos | Segunda División |
| May 20, 2023 | Tenerife 2-1 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Burgos 0-1 Tenerife | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Burgos score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tenerife score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burgos | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Tenerife | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burgos sit 8th in Segunda División (21 points from 12 matches) and Tenerife sit 14th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Burgos | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 21 |
| 14 | Tenerife | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Burgos vs Tenerife?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burgos vs Tenerife?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burgos the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Tenerife.
- Where and when is Burgos vs Tenerife played?
- Burgos vs Tenerife is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.