Busko-Zdroj vs KSZO 1929: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 29Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes KSZO 1929 the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Busko-Zdroj. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Busko-Zdroj vs KSZO 1929?
KSZO 1929 starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,898 vs 1,718).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Busko-Zdroj have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; KSZO 1929 have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Star Starachowice(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Star Starachowice(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Busko-Zdroj score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 8; KSZO 1929 score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Busko-Zdroj | 1.6 | 2.1 | 0 | 6/8 | 6/8 |
| KSZO 1929 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Busko-Zdroj sit 14th in III Liga - Group 4 (5 points from 5 matches) and KSZO 1929 sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | KSZO 1929 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 14 | Busko-Zdroj | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Busko-Zdroj vs KSZO 1929?
- The Footlab model makes KSZO 1929 the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Busko-Zdroj.
- Where and when is Busko-Zdroj vs KSZO 1929 played?
- Busko-Zdroj vs KSZO 1929 is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 1, 2027Siarka TarnobrzegvsWiślanie Jaśkowice
- May 1, 2027Podlasie Biała PodlaskavsKorona Kielce II
- May 1, 2027Wisłoka DębicavsMoravia Morawica
- May 1, 2027Czarni PołaniecvsHetman Zamosc
- May 1, 2027JarosławvsWisła Kraków II
- May 1, 2027Star StarachowicevsChełmianka Chełm
- May 1, 2027Sokół Kolb.vsNaprzód
- May 1, 2027KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvsPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów