Match

KSZO 1929 vs Busko-Zdroj: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Miejski Stadion Sportowy, Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski

KSZO 1929Busko-Zdroj

The Footlab model makes KSZO 1929 the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Busko-Zdroj. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win KSZO 1929 vs Busko-Zdroj?

KSZO 1929 starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (1,895 vs 1,715).

KSZO 1929 win62 %
Draw22 %
Busko-Zdroj win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KSZO 1929 have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Busko-Zdroj have 2, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

KSZO 1929
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home)1-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away)2-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 14, 2026Korona Kielce II(home)3-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 9, 2026Star Starachowice(away)0-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home)1-0III Liga - Group 4
Busko-Zdroj
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Star Starachowice(away)1-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away)1-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home)1-4III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026KS Wieczysta Krakow II(away)3-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026Wisłoka Dębica(home)1-1III Liga - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

KSZO 1929 score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Busko-Zdroj score 1.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
KSZO 19291.91.148/158/15
Busko-Zdroj1.62.106/86/8

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

KSZO 1929 sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 4 (11 points from 5 matches) and Busko-Zdroj sit 14th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3KSZO 192953207411
14Busko-Zdroj5122795

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for KSZO 1929 vs Busko-Zdroj?
The Footlab model makes KSZO 1929 the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Busko-Zdroj.
Where and when is KSZO 1929 vs Busko-Zdroj played?
KSZO 1929 vs Busko-Zdroj is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Miejski Stadion Sportowy, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: KSZO 1929 and Busko-Zdroj

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