KSZO 1929 vs Busko-Zdroj: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Miejski Stadion Sportowy, Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
The Footlab model makes KSZO 1929 the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Busko-Zdroj. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KSZO 1929 vs Busko-Zdroj?
KSZO 1929 starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (1,895 vs 1,715).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KSZO 1929 have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Busko-Zdroj have 2, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Star Starachowice(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Star Starachowice(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
KSZO 1929 score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Busko-Zdroj score 1.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KSZO 1929 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Busko-Zdroj | 1.6 | 2.1 | 0 | 6/8 | 6/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KSZO 1929 sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 4 (11 points from 5 matches) and Busko-Zdroj sit 14th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | KSZO 1929 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 14 | Busko-Zdroj | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KSZO 1929 vs Busko-Zdroj?
- The Footlab model makes KSZO 1929 the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Busko-Zdroj.
- Where and when is KSZO 1929 vs Busko-Zdroj played?
- KSZO 1929 vs Busko-Zdroj is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Miejski Stadion Sportowy, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Chełmianka ChełmvsStar Starachowice
- Oct 10, 2026Hetman ZamoscvsCzarni Połaniec
- Oct 10, 2026Korona Kielce IIvsPodlasie Biała Podlaska
- Oct 10, 2026Wiślanie JaśkowicevsSiarka Tarnobrzeg
- Oct 10, 2026Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówvsKS Wieczysta Krakow II
- Oct 10, 2026Wisła Kraków IIvsJarosław
- Oct 10, 2026NaprzódvsSokół Kolb.
- Oct 10, 2026Moravia MorawicavsWisłoka Dębica