Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 29Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR Wisła, Tarnobrzeg
The Footlab model makes Wiślanie Jaśkowice the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Siarka Tarnobrzeg (1,718) and Wiślanie Jaśkowice (1,776).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Siarka Tarnobrzeg have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Wiślanie Jaśkowice have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jarosław(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | KSZO 1929(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Naprzód(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Siarka Tarnobrzeg win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Wiślanie Jaśkowice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice 2-1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1-3 Wiślanie Jaśkowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| May 10, 2025 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg 9-0 Wiślanie Jaśkowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice 3-1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg 2-1 Wiślanie Jaśkowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice 0-1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg on Nov 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Siarka Tarnobrzeg score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Wiślanie Jaśkowice score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Siarka Tarnobrzeg sit 16th in III Liga - Group 4 (4 points from 5 matches) and Wiślanie Jaśkowice sit 2nd (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 16 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice?
- The Footlab model makes Wiślanie Jaśkowice the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg.
- Where and when is Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice played?
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice is played on May 1, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR Wisła, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 1, 2027Podlasie Biała PodlaskavsKorona Kielce II
- May 1, 2027Wisłoka DębicavsMoravia Morawica
- May 1, 2027Czarni PołaniecvsHetman Zamosc
- May 1, 2027JarosławvsWisła Kraków II
- May 1, 2027Star StarachowicevsChełmianka Chełm
- May 1, 2027Sokół Kolb.vsNaprzód
- May 1, 2027KS Wieczysta Krakow IIvsPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
- May 1, 2027Busko-ZdrojvsKSZO 1929