Where and when is Buxton vs Chorley played?

Buxton vs Chorley is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Silverlands, in the National League - North.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Buxton vs Chorley: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 34Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Silverlands, Buxton, Derbyshire

Buxton

Chorley

The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Chorley. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Buxton vs Chorley?

Buxton starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,888 vs 1,780).

Buxton win52 %

Draw24 %

Chorley win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buxton have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Chorley have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Buxton
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Hebburn Town(home)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Bedford Town(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Southport(away)	1-1	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Hereford(home)	2-1	National League - North
Aug 1, 2026	Warrington Town(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

Chorley
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Scarborough Athletic(home)	2-1	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Marine(away)	2-0	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	South Shields(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Chester(home)	1-2	National League - North
Jul 28, 2026	Trafford(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Buxton win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Chorley win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 14, 2026	Chorley 1-2 Buxton	National League - North
Oct 18, 2025	Buxton 3-2 Chorley	National League - North
Apr 18, 2025	Buxton 1-0 Chorley	National League - North
Feb 4, 2025	Chorley 3-0 Buxton	National League - North
Apr 6, 2024	Buxton 3-1 Chorley	National League - North
Dec 12, 2023	Chorley 3-2 Buxton	National League - North

Last archived meeting: Chorley vs Buxton on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Buxton score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chorley score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Buxton	2.1	1.2	4	10/15	10/15
Chorley	0.9	1.2	4	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Buxton sit 14th in National League - North (4 points from 4 matches) and Chorley sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Chorley	4	2	0	2	6	5	6
14	Buxton	4	1	1	2	5	6	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Buxton vs Chorley?: The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Chorley.
Where and when is Buxton vs Chorley played?: Buxton vs Chorley is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Silverlands, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.