Caerau (Ely) vs Brickfield Rangers: prediction and stats
Welsh CupRound of 32Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
The Footlab AI model makes Caerau (Ely) the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Brickfield Rangers. The most likely score is 1-1. If Caerau (Ely) wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,751 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caerau (Ely) vs Brickfield Rangers?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Caerau (Ely) (1,641) and Brickfield Rangers (1,647).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caerau (Ely) vs Brickfield Rangers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caerau (Ely)
Not enough data to predict the Caerau (Ely) lineup.
Brickfield Rangers
Not enough data to predict the Brickfield Rangers lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 07:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caerau (Ely) have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Brickfield Rangers have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Llantwit Major(home) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 16, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 6-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Porthmadog(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Llangefni Town(home) | 2-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(home) | 0-4 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rhyl(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Caerau (Ely) score 2.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Brickfield Rangers score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.3 | 1.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Brickfield Rangers | 2.1 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Caerau (Ely) vs Brickfield Rangers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caerau (Ely) vs Brickfield Rangers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caerau (Ely) the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Brickfield Rangers.
- Where and when is Caerau (Ely) vs Brickfield Rangers played?
- Caerau (Ely) vs Brickfield Rangers is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Cwrt-yr-Ala, in the Welsh Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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