Match

Llangennech vs Newport City: prediction and stats

Welsh CupRound of 32Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)

LlangennechNewport City

The Footlab AI model makes Llangennech the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 30% for Newport City. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,751 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Llangennech vs Newport City?

A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Llangennech (1,535) and Newport City (1,545).

49%21%30%
Llangennech winDrawNewport City win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Llangennech vs Newport City

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Llangennech

Not enough data to predict the Llangennech lineup.

Newport City

Not enough data to predict the Newport City lineup.

Computed on November 7, 2026 at 07:12 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

In their last match in all competitions, Llangennech have 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats; Newport City have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Llangennech
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Pontardawe Town(home)1-1Welsh Cup
Newport City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 6, 2026Treowen Stars(home)2-2FAW Championship
Oct 31, 2026Llantwit Major(away)3-2FAW Championship
Oct 23, 2026Pontypridd Town(home)4-4FAW Championship
Oct 17, 2026Carmarthen Town(away)5-4Welsh Cup
Oct 9, 2026Caerphilly Athletic(away)2-3FAW Championship

How many goals should we expect?

Llangennech score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match in their last match; Newport City score 1.7 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Llangennech1.01.001/10/1
Newport City1.72.328/1511/15

Over the last match in all competitions.

A question about Llangennech vs Newport City?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Llangennech vs Newport City?
The Footlab AI model makes Llangennech the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 30% for Newport City.
Where and when is Llangennech vs Newport City played?
Llangennech vs Newport City is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Welsh Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Llangennech and Newport City

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