Caerphilly Athletic vs Afan Lido: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Caerphilly Athletic the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Afan Lido. The most likely score is 1-1. If Caerphilly Athletic wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caerphilly Athletic vs Afan Lido?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Caerphilly Athletic (1,560) and Afan Lido (1,540).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caerphilly Athletic vs Afan Lido
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caerphilly Athletic
Not enough data to predict the Caerphilly Athletic lineup.
Afan Lido
Not enough data to predict the Afan Lido lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Caerphilly Athletic have 4 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Afan Lido have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Swansea University(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Swansea University(home) | 5-5 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Caerphilly Athletic score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 14; Afan Lido score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caerphilly Athletic | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/14 | 11/14 |
| Afan Lido | 1.7 | 1.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caerphilly Athletic sit 11th in FAW Championship (11 points from 10 matches) and Afan Lido sit 10th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 12 |
| 11 | Caerphilly Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 11 |
A question about Caerphilly Athletic vs Afan Lido?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caerphilly Athletic vs Afan Lido?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caerphilly Athletic the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Afan Lido.
- Where and when is Caerphilly Athletic vs Afan Lido played?
- Caerphilly Athletic vs Afan Lido is played on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC), in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Aberystwyth TownvsCardiff Draconians
- Apr 17, 2027llanelli AFCvsYnyshir Albions
- Apr 17, 2027Pontypridd TownvsSwansea University
- Apr 17, 2027Llantwit MajorvsCarmarthen Town
- Apr 17, 2027Treowen StarsvsPontardawe Town
- Apr 17, 2027Baglan DragonsvsTrethomas Bluebirds
- Apr 17, 2027Newport CityvsCaerau (Ely)