Where and when is Llantwit Major vs Carmarthen Town played?

Llantwit Major vs Carmarthen Town is played on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Windmill Ground, in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Llantwit Major vs Carmarthen Town: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Windmill Ground, Llantwit Major

Llantwit Major

Carmarthen Town

The Footlab model makes Carmarthen Town the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Llantwit Major. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Llantwit Major vs Carmarthen Town?

Carmarthen Town starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,614 vs 1,483).

Llantwit Major win27 %

Draw22 %

Carmarthen Town win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llantwit Major have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Carmarthen Town have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Llantwit Major
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Aberystwyth Town(away)	1-5	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Baglan Dragons(home)	0-1	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Afan Lido(away)	0-5	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Swansea University(home)	0-3	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Cambrian & Clydach(home)	1-3	FAW Championship

Carmarthen Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Treowen Stars(home)	2-4	FAW Championship
Aug 14, 2026	Afan Lido(home)	3-1	FAW Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Newport City(away)	2-1	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Caerau (Ely)(home)	4-3	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Treowen Stars(away)	1-4	FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Llantwit Major win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Carmarthen Town win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 30, 2026	Carmarthen Town 1-1 Llantwit Major	FAW Championship
Aug 16, 2025	Llantwit Major 0-0 Carmarthen Town	FAW Championship
Jan 11, 2025	Llantwit Major 0-2 Carmarthen Town	FAW Championship
Oct 25, 2024	Carmarthen Town 0-1 Llantwit Major	FAW Championship
Apr 20, 2024	Carmarthen Town 0-3 Llantwit Major	FAW Championship
Jul 29, 2023	Llantwit Major 1-2 Carmarthen Town	FAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Carmarthen Town vs Llantwit Major on Jan 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Llantwit Major score 1.5 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Carmarthen Town score 2.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Llantwit Major	1.5	2.5	1	10/15	13/15
Carmarthen Town	2.5	2.0	3	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Llantwit Major sit 16th in FAW Championship (0 points from 4 matches) and Carmarthen Town sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Carmarthen Town	4	3	0	1	11	9	9
16	Llantwit Major	4	0	0	4	1	14	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Llantwit Major vs Carmarthen Town?: The Footlab model makes Carmarthen Town the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Llantwit Major.
Where and when is Llantwit Major vs Carmarthen Town played?: Llantwit Major vs Carmarthen Town is played on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Windmill Ground, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.