Match

Llantwit Major vs Carmarthen Town: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Windmill Ground, Llantwit Major

Llantwit MajorCarmarthen Town

The Footlab AI model makes Carmarthen Town the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Llantwit Major. The most likely score is 1-1. If Carmarthen Town wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,947 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Llantwit Major vs Carmarthen Town?

A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Llantwit Major (1,551) and Carmarthen Town (1,631).

31%22%47%
Llantwit Major winDrawCarmarthen Town win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Llantwit Major vs Carmarthen Town

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Llantwit Major

Not enough data to predict the Llantwit Major lineup.

Carmarthen Town

Not enough data to predict the Carmarthen Town lineup.

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 10:44 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llantwit Major have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Carmarthen Town have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Llantwit Major
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Trefelin(away)1-4Welsh Cup
Oct 10, 2026Pontardawe Town(home)1-1FAW Championship
Oct 6, 2026Pontypridd Town(away)1-4FAW Championship
Oct 2, 2026Carmarthen Town(away)2-1FAW Championship
Sep 26, 2026llanelli AFC(home)2-0FAW Championship
Carmarthen Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Newport City(home)4-5Welsh Cup
Oct 10, 2026Cardiff Draconians(away)2-2FAW Championship
Oct 2, 2026Llantwit Major(home)1-2FAW Championship
Sep 25, 2026Baglan Dragons(away)2-1FAW Championship
Sep 12, 2026Ynyshir Albions(home)2-2FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Llantwit Major wins, 2 draws, 1 Carmarthen Town win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2026Carmarthen Town 1-2 Llantwit MajorFAW Championship
Jan 30, 2026Carmarthen Town 1-1 Llantwit MajorFAW Championship
Aug 16, 2025Llantwit Major 0-0 Carmarthen TownFAW Championship
Jan 11, 2025Llantwit Major 0-2 Carmarthen TownFAW Championship
Oct 25, 2024Carmarthen Town 0-1 Llantwit MajorFAW Championship
Apr 20, 2024Carmarthen Town 0-3 Llantwit MajorFAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Carmarthen Town vs Llantwit Major on Oct 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Llantwit Major score 1.1 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Carmarthen Town score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Llantwit Major1.12.7111/1511/15
Carmarthen Town2.32.1212/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Llantwit Major sit 15th in FAW Championship (8 points from 9 matches) and Carmarthen Town sit 7th (15 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Carmarthen Town10433222115
15Llantwit Major92258218

A question about Llantwit Major vs Carmarthen Town?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Llantwit Major vs Carmarthen Town?
The Footlab AI model makes Carmarthen Town the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Llantwit Major.
Where and when is Llantwit Major vs Carmarthen Town played?
Llantwit Major vs Carmarthen Town is played on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Windmill Ground, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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