Where and when is Baglan Dragons vs Trethomas Bluebirds played?

Baglan Dragons vs Trethomas Bluebirds is played on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Baglan Dragons vs Trethomas Bluebirds: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, Port Talbot

Baglan Dragons

Trethomas Bluebirds

The Footlab model makes Baglan Dragons the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Trethomas Bluebirds. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Baglan Dragons vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Baglan Dragons (1,472) and Trethomas Bluebirds (1,511).

Baglan Dragons win39 %

Draw25 %

Trethomas Bluebirds win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baglan Dragons have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Trethomas Bluebirds have 2, 6 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Baglan Dragons
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Newport City(away)	1-0	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Llantwit Major(away)	1-0	FAW Championship
Aug 9, 2026	Swansea University(home)	0-3	FAW Championship
Jul 31, 2026	Trethomas Bluebirds(away)	0-0	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Trethomas Bluebirds(home)	1-1	FAW Championship

Trethomas Bluebirds
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Pontypridd Town(away)	1-2	FAW Championship
Aug 14, 2026	Caerau (Ely)(home)	2-4	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	llanelli AFC(away)	1-1	FAW Championship
Jul 31, 2026	Baglan Dragons(home)	0-0	FAW Championship
Jul 14, 2026	Barry Town(away)	1-5	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Baglan Dragons win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Trethomas Bluebirds win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 31, 2026	Trethomas Bluebirds 0-0 Baglan Dragons	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Baglan Dragons 1-1 Trethomas Bluebirds	FAW Championship
Dec 20, 2025	Trethomas Bluebirds 2-1 Baglan Dragons	FAW Championship
Mar 1, 2025	Baglan Dragons 2-0 Trethomas Bluebirds	FAW Championship
Nov 22, 2024	Trethomas Bluebirds 0-1 Baglan Dragons	FAW Championship
Aug 2, 2024	Trethomas Bluebirds 3-1 Baglan Dragons	League Cup

Last archived meeting: Trethomas Bluebirds vs Baglan Dragons on Jul 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Baglan Dragons score 0.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Trethomas Bluebirds score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Baglan Dragons	0.5	2.1	4	4/15	7/15
Trethomas Bluebirds	1.5	2.3	3	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Baglan Dragons sit 5th in FAW Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and Trethomas Bluebirds sit 14th (2 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Baglan Dragons	4	2	1	1	2	3	7
14	Trethomas Bluebirds	4	0	2	2	4	7	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Baglan Dragons vs Trethomas Bluebirds?: The Footlab model makes Baglan Dragons the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Trethomas Bluebirds.
Where and when is Baglan Dragons vs Trethomas Bluebirds played?: Baglan Dragons vs Trethomas Bluebirds is played on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.