llanelli AFC vs Ynyshir Albions: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Stebonheath Park, Llanelli, Carmarthenshire
The Footlab model makes llanelli AFC the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Ynyshir Albions. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win llanelli AFC vs Ynyshir Albions?
llanelli AFC starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,559 vs 1,450).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, llanelli AFC have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Ynyshir Albions have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Swansea University(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 llanelli AFC win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ynyshir Albions win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2025 | Ynyshir Albions 1-4 llanelli AFC | League Cup |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Ynyshir Albions 2-7 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Aug 26, 2022 | llanelli AFC 1-0 Ynyshir Albions | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ynyshir Albions vs llanelli AFC on Aug 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
llanelli AFC score 0.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ynyshir Albions score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| llanelli AFC | 0.7 | 2.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Ynyshir Albions | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
llanelli AFC sit 15th in FAW Championship (1 points from 4 matches) and Ynyshir Albions sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ynyshir Albions | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 15 | llanelli AFC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for llanelli AFC vs Ynyshir Albions?
- The Footlab model makes llanelli AFC the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Ynyshir Albions.
- Where and when is llanelli AFC vs Ynyshir Albions played?
- llanelli AFC vs Ynyshir Albions is played on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Stebonheath Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Apr 17, 2027Caerphilly AthleticvsAfan Lido
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- Apr 17, 2027Baglan DragonsvsTrethomas Bluebirds
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