Pontypridd Town vs Swansea University: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)USW Sports Park, Treforest, Pontypridd
The Footlab model makes Swansea University the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Pontypridd Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontypridd Town vs Swansea University?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Pontypridd Town (1,578) and Swansea University (1,557).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontypridd Town have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Swansea University have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Treowen Stars(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 5-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Llantwit Major(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Trefelin(home) | 1-6 | Welsh Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Pontypridd Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Swansea University win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | Pontypridd Town 1-1 Swansea University | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Swansea University 3-4 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Pontypridd Town 1-1 Swansea University | FAW Championship |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Swansea University 3-0 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Pontypridd Town vs Swansea University on Jan 29, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Pontypridd Town score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Swansea University score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontypridd Town | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Swansea University | 1.9 | 1.6 | 6 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pontypridd Town sit 2nd in FAW Championship (12 points from 4 matches) and Swansea University sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea University | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Pontypridd Town | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontypridd Town vs Swansea University?
- The Footlab model makes Swansea University the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Pontypridd Town.
- Where and when is Pontypridd Town vs Swansea University played?
- Pontypridd Town vs Swansea University is played on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at USW Sports Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027Aberystwyth TownvsCardiff Draconians
- Apr 17, 2027llanelli AFCvsYnyshir Albions
- Apr 17, 2027Llantwit MajorvsCarmarthen Town
- Apr 17, 2027Caerphilly AthleticvsAfan Lido
- Apr 17, 2027Treowen StarsvsPontardawe Town
- Apr 17, 2027Baglan DragonsvsTrethomas Bluebirds
- Apr 17, 2027Newport CityvsCaerau (Ely)