Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 14Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Princess Margaret Way, Port Talbot / Porth Talbot, Neath Port Talbot
The Footlab AI model makes Afan Lido the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Caerphilly Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1. If Afan Lido wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Afan Lido (1,542) and Caerphilly Athletic (1,561).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Afan Lido
Not enough data to predict the Afan Lido lineup.
Caerphilly Athletic
Not enough data to predict the Caerphilly Athletic lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afan Lido have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Caerphilly Athletic have 4, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Swansea University(home) | 5-5 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Swansea University(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Afan Lido score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Caerphilly Athletic score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afan Lido | 1.7 | 1.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Caerphilly Athletic | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/14 | 11/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Afan Lido sit 10th in FAW Championship (12 points from 11 matches) and Caerphilly Athletic sit 11th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 12 |
| 11 | Caerphilly Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 11 |
A question about Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic?
- The Footlab AI model makes Afan Lido the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Caerphilly Athletic.
- Where and when is Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic played?
- Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic is played on November 6, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Princess Margaret Way, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.