Carmarthen Town vs llanelli AFC: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)LHP Stadium, Caerfyrddin / Carmarthen, Dyfed
The Footlab AI model makes Carmarthen Town the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for llanelli AFC. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,598 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carmarthen Town vs llanelli AFC?
Carmarthen Town starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,549 vs 1,440).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Carmarthen Town vs llanelli AFC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Carmarthen Town
Not enough data to predict the Carmarthen Town lineup.
llanelli AFC
Not enough data to predict the llanelli AFC lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 02:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carmarthen Town have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; llanelli AFC have 0, 2 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(home) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 4-5 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Llantwit Major(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Afan Lido(home) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-6 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 2-6 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Llantwit Major(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Carmarthen Town wins, 3 draws, 3 llanelli AFC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | llanelli AFC 2-2 Carmarthen Town | FAW Championship |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Carmarthen Town 1-1 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Aug 16, 2024 | llanelli AFC 1-1 Carmarthen Town | FAW Championship |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Carmarthen Town 0-1 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Aug 18, 2023 | llanelli AFC 4-3 Carmarthen Town | FAW Championship |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Carmarthen Town 1-6 llanelli AFC | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: llanelli AFC vs Carmarthen Town on Aug 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Carmarthen Town score 2.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; llanelli AFC score 0.6 and concede 3.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmarthen Town | 2.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| llanelli AFC | 0.6 | 3.5 | 0 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carmarthen Town sit 8th in FAW Championship (15 points from 11 matches) and llanelli AFC sit 16th (2 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Carmarthen Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 24 | 15 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 36 | 2 |
A question about Carmarthen Town vs llanelli AFC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carmarthen Town vs llanelli AFC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Carmarthen Town the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for llanelli AFC.
- Where and when is Carmarthen Town vs llanelli AFC played?
- Carmarthen Town vs llanelli AFC is played on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at LHP Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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