Carmarthen Town vs llanelli AFC: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)LHP Stadium, Caerfyrddin / Carmarthen, Dyfed
The Footlab model makes Carmarthen Town the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for llanelli AFC. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carmarthen Town vs llanelli AFC?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Carmarthen Town (1,614) and llanelli AFC (1,557).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carmarthen Town have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; llanelli AFC have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Treowen Stars(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Afan Lido(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Newport City(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 4-3 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Treowen Stars(away) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Swansea University(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Carmarthen Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 llanelli AFC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | Carmarthen Town 1-1 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Aug 16, 2024 | llanelli AFC 1-1 Carmarthen Town | FAW Championship |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Carmarthen Town 0-1 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Aug 18, 2023 | llanelli AFC 4-3 Carmarthen Town | FAW Championship |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Carmarthen Town 1-6 llanelli AFC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Carmarthen Town 1-3 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Carmarthen Town vs llanelli AFC on Nov 30, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Carmarthen Town score 2.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; llanelli AFC score 0.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmarthen Town | 2.5 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| llanelli AFC | 0.7 | 2.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carmarthen Town sit 4th in FAW Championship (9 points from 4 matches) and llanelli AFC sit 15th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Carmarthen Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | llanelli AFC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carmarthen Town vs llanelli AFC?
- The Footlab model makes Carmarthen Town the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for llanelli AFC.
- Where and when is Carmarthen Town vs llanelli AFC played?
- Carmarthen Town vs llanelli AFC is played on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at LHP Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 9, 2027Afan LidovsTreowen Stars
- Apr 9, 2027Caerau (Ely)vsCaerphilly Athletic
- Apr 10, 2027Swansea UniversityvsNewport City
- Apr 10, 2027Cardiff DraconiansvsLlantwit Major
- Apr 10, 2027Pontardawe TownvsPontypridd Town
- Apr 10, 2027Ynyshir AlbionsvsBaglan Dragons
- Apr 10, 2027Trethomas BluebirdsvsAberystwyth Town