Match

Caerphilly Athletic vs Llantwit Major: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 25Kick-off on March 12, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)

Caerphilly AthleticLlantwit Major

The Footlab AI model makes Caerphilly Athletic the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Llantwit Major. The most likely score is 1-1. If Caerphilly Athletic wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,447 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Caerphilly Athletic vs Llantwit Major?

A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates Caerphilly Athletic (1,561) and Llantwit Major (1,562).

47%23%30%
Caerphilly Athletic winDrawLlantwit Major win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Caerphilly Athletic vs Llantwit Major

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Caerphilly Athletic

Not enough data to predict the Caerphilly Athletic lineup.

Llantwit Major

Not enough data to predict the Llantwit Major lineup.

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:12 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Caerphilly Athletic have 4 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Llantwit Major have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Caerphilly Athletic
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Newport City(home)3-2FAW Championship
Oct 3, 2026Swansea University(away)1-3FAW Championship
Sep 25, 2026Pontypridd Town(home)1-2FAW Championship
Sep 12, 2026Aberystwyth Town(home)2-3FAW Championship
Sep 4, 2026Trethomas Bluebirds(away)2-2FAW Championship
Llantwit Major
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Pontardawe Town(home)1-1FAW Championship
Oct 6, 2026Pontypridd Town(away)1-4FAW Championship
Oct 2, 2026Carmarthen Town(away)2-1FAW Championship
Sep 26, 2026llanelli AFC(home)2-0FAW Championship
Sep 12, 2026Treowen Stars(away)1-1FAW Championship

How many goals should we expect?

Caerphilly Athletic score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 14; Llantwit Major score 1.2 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Caerphilly Athletic1.42.0210/1411/14
Llantwit Major1.22.5111/1511/15

Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Caerphilly Athletic sit 11th in FAW Championship (11 points from 10 matches) and Llantwit Major sit 15th (8 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Caerphilly Athletic10325121911
15Llantwit Major92258218

A question about Caerphilly Athletic vs Llantwit Major?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Caerphilly Athletic vs Llantwit Major?
The Footlab AI model makes Caerphilly Athletic the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Llantwit Major.
Where and when is Caerphilly Athletic vs Llantwit Major played?
Caerphilly Athletic vs Llantwit Major is played on March 12, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC), in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Caerphilly Athletic and Llantwit Major

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