Match

Swansea University vs Aberystwyth Town: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 25Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sketty Lane, Swansea

Swansea UniversityAberystwyth Town

The Footlab model makes Swansea University the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Aberystwyth Town. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Swansea University vs Aberystwyth Town?

A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Swansea University (1,579) and Aberystwyth Town (1,579).

Swansea University win60 %
Draw21 %
Aberystwyth Town win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swansea University have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Aberystwyth Town have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Swansea University
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Caerau (Ely)(away)5-1FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026llanelli AFC(home)3-0FAW Championship
Aug 9, 2026Baglan Dragons(away)3-0FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026Llantwit Major(away)3-0FAW Championship
Oct 18, 2025Trefelin(home)1-6Welsh Cup
Aberystwyth Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Llantwit Major(home)5-1FAW Championship
Aug 8, 2026Treowen Stars(home)1-2FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026Afan Lido(away)5-2FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026Ynyshir Albions(away)0-0FAW Championship
Apr 11, 2026Cwmbran Celtic(away)1-3FAW Championship

How many goals should we expect?

Swansea University score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Aberystwyth Town score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Swansea University1.91.666/1511/15
Aberystwyth Town1.51.647/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Swansea University sit 1st in FAW Championship (12 points from 4 matches) and Aberystwyth Town sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Swansea University440014112
6Aberystwyth Town32011156

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Swansea University vs Aberystwyth Town?
The Footlab model makes Swansea University the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Aberystwyth Town.
Where and when is Swansea University vs Aberystwyth Town played?
Swansea University vs Aberystwyth Town is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sketty Lane, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Swansea University and Aberystwyth Town

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