Where and when is Newport City vs llanelli AFC played?

Newport City vs llanelli AFC is played on March 12, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Newport Stadium, in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Newport City vs llanelli AFC: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 25Kick-off on March 12, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Newport Stadium, Casnewydd

Newport City

llanelli AFC

The Footlab model makes Newport City the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for llanelli AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Newport City vs llanelli AFC?

A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Newport City (1,558) and llanelli AFC (1,559).

Newport City win49 %

Draw23 %

llanelli AFC win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newport City have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; llanelli AFC have 1, 3 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Newport City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Baglan Dragons(home)	0-1	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Pontardawe Town(away)	4-0	FAW Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Carmarthen Town(home)	1-2	FAW Championship
Jul 31, 2026	llanelli AFC(away)	4-1	FAW Championship
Jul 8, 2026	Newport County(home)	0-5	Friendlies Clubs

llanelli AFC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Cardiff Draconians(away)	2-4	FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Swansea University(away)	0-3	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Trethomas Bluebirds(home)	1-1	FAW Championship
Jul 31, 2026	Newport City(home)	1-4	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Haverfordwest County AFC(away)	0-6	Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Newport City win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 llanelli AFC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 31, 2026	llanelli AFC 1-4 Newport City	FAW Championship
Jan 24, 2025	Newport City 1-2 llanelli AFC	FAW Championship
Oct 4, 2024	llanelli AFC 2-3 Newport City	FAW Championship

Last archived meeting: llanelli AFC vs Newport City on Jul 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Newport City score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; llanelli AFC score 0.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Newport City	1.3	2.2	3	6/15	11/15
llanelli AFC	0.7	2.7	1	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Newport City sit 7th in FAW Championship (6 points from 4 matches) and llanelli AFC sit 15th (1 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Newport City	4	2	0	2	9	4	6
15	llanelli AFC	4	0	1	3	4	12	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Newport City vs llanelli AFC?: The Footlab model makes Newport City the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for llanelli AFC.
Where and when is Newport City vs llanelli AFC played?: Newport City vs llanelli AFC is played on March 12, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Newport Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.