Cardiff Draconians vs Trethomas Bluebirds: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 25Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Cardiff Draconians the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Trethomas Bluebirds. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cardiff Draconians wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,612 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cardiff Draconians vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates Cardiff Draconians (1,550) and Trethomas Bluebirds (1,549).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cardiff Draconians vs Trethomas Bluebirds
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cardiff Draconians
Not enough data to predict the Cardiff Draconians lineup.
Trethomas Bluebirds
Not enough data to predict the Trethomas Bluebirds lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 01:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardiff Draconians have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Trethomas Bluebirds have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Swansea University(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Afan Lido(home) | 2-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Radnor Valley(away) | 3-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Llantwit Major(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 0-5 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Treowen Stars(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Cardiff Draconians win, 1 draw, 1 Trethomas Bluebirds win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds 3-1 Cardiff Draconians | FAW Championship |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds 4-4 Cardiff Draconians | FAW Championship |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Cardiff Draconians 3-0 Trethomas Bluebirds | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians on Oct 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cardiff Draconians score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Trethomas Bluebirds score 1.8 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff Draconians | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Trethomas Bluebirds | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cardiff Draconians sit 14th in FAW Championship (12 points from 11 matches) and Trethomas Bluebirds sit 8th (17 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 17 |
| 14 | Cardiff Draconians | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 12 |
A question about Cardiff Draconians vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cardiff Draconians vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cardiff Draconians the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Trethomas Bluebirds.
- Where and when is Cardiff Draconians vs Trethomas Bluebirds played?
- Cardiff Draconians vs Trethomas Bluebirds is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.