Afan Lido vs Pontypridd Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 25Kick-off on March 12, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Princess Margaret Way, Port Talbot / Porth Talbot, Neath Port Talbot
The Footlab AI model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for Afan Lido. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Afan Lido vs Pontypridd Town?
Pontypridd Town starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,563 vs 1,454).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Afan Lido vs Pontypridd Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Afan Lido
Not enough data to predict the Afan Lido lineup.
Pontypridd Town
Not enough data to predict the Pontypridd Town lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 10:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afan Lido have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Pontypridd Town have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 23, 2026 | llanelli AFC(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Penybont(home) | 2-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Swansea University(home) | 5-5 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Newport City(away) | 4-4 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Llantwit Major(home) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Afan Lido wins, 1 draw, 2 Pontypridd Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Pontypridd Town 0-1 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Pontypridd Town 2-0 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Afan Lido 2-2 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Afan Lido 2-0 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
| Jul 26, 2024 | Pontypridd Town 3-2 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
| Sep 20, 2022 | Afan Lido 2-0 Pontypridd Town | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Pontypridd Town vs Afan Lido on Sep 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Afan Lido score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pontypridd Town score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afan Lido | 1.6 | 2.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Pontypridd Town | 2.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Afan Lido sit 10th in FAW Championship (15 points from 13 matches) and Pontypridd Town sit 1st (24 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pontypridd Town | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 21 | 24 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 24 | 15 |
A question about Afan Lido vs Pontypridd Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Afan Lido vs Pontypridd Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 48%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for Afan Lido.
- Where and when is Afan Lido vs Pontypridd Town played?
- Afan Lido vs Pontypridd Town is played on March 12, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Princess Margaret Way, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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