Afan Lido vs Pontypridd Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 25Kick-off on March 12, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Princess Margaret Way, Port Talbot / Porth Talbot, Neath Port Talbot
The Footlab model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Afan Lido. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Afan Lido vs Pontypridd Town?
Pontypridd Town starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,599 vs 1,496).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afan Lido have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Pontypridd Town have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Llantwit Major(home) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 2-5 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Treowen Stars(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Afan Lido win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Pontypridd Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Pontypridd Town 2-0 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Afan Lido 2-2 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Afan Lido 2-0 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
| Jul 26, 2024 | Pontypridd Town 3-2 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
| Sep 20, 2022 | Afan Lido 2-0 Pontypridd Town | League Cup |
| Dec 3, 2021 | Pontypridd Town 8-1 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Pontypridd Town vs Afan Lido on Jan 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Afan Lido score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pontypridd Town score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afan Lido | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Pontypridd Town | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Afan Lido sit 8th in FAW Championship (6 points from 4 matches) and Pontypridd Town sit 2nd (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pontypridd Town | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 8 | Afan Lido | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Afan Lido vs Pontypridd Town?
- The Footlab model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Afan Lido.
- Where and when is Afan Lido vs Pontypridd Town played?
- Afan Lido vs Pontypridd Town is played on March 12, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Princess Margaret Way, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 12, 2027Caerphilly AthleticvsLlantwit Major
- Mar 12, 2027Newport Cityvsllanelli AFC
- Mar 12, 2027Caerau (Ely)vsPontardawe Town
- Mar 13, 2027Ynyshir AlbionsvsTreowen Stars
- Mar 13, 2027Carmarthen TownvsBaglan Dragons
- Mar 13, 2027Swansea UniversityvsAberystwyth Town
- Mar 13, 2027Cardiff DraconiansvsTrethomas Bluebirds