Calamocha vs RSD Alcalá: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo De Fútbol Jumaya Calamocha, Calamocha
The Footlab AI model makes Calamocha the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for RSD Alcalá. The most likely score is 1-1. If Calamocha wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Calamocha vs RSD Alcalá?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Calamocha (1,843) and RSD Alcalá (1,869).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Calamocha vs RSD Alcalá
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Calamocha
Not enough data to predict the Calamocha lineup.
RSD Alcalá
4-3-3- 10Izan
- 23I. Robledo
- 19N. Sanchez
- 11Javi Hernández
- 7J. Arribas
- 8S. Marcos
- 22D. Nieto
- 15Chete
- 4H. Torres
- 12M. Lopez
- 1I. Gil
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calamocha have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; RSD Alcalá have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ebro(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Osasuna II(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Tudelano(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | UD Logroñés II(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Espanyol II(away) | 0-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Calvo Sotelo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Navalcarnero(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 5-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Guadalajara(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Calamocha score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; RSD Alcalá score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calamocha | 1.1 | 1.1 | 8 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| RSD Alcalá | 1.5 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | RSD Alcalá | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 6 |
A question about Calamocha vs RSD Alcalá?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Calamocha vs RSD Alcalá?
- The Footlab AI model makes Calamocha the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for RSD Alcalá.
- Where and when is Calamocha vs RSD Alcalá played?
- Calamocha vs RSD Alcalá is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo De Fútbol Jumaya Calamocha, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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